EURUSD Price Breaks Below 1.1300 on ECB Growth Concerns Rumor

EURUSD Price, Chart and ZEW Analysis, ECB Concerns:

欧元兑美元价格，图表和ZEW分析，欧洲央行关注：

• EURUSD unmoved on ZEW data but dips on Reuters ECB growth forecast rumor.

  欧元兑美元对ZEW数据无动于衷但对路透社欧洲央行增长预测的传闻嗤之以鼻。

• Euro seemingly capped at current levels; client sentiment is bearish.

  欧元看似限制在当前水平;客户情绪看跌。

Q2 2019 EUR Forecast and USD Top Trading Opportunities

2019年第二季度欧元预测与美元最大交易机会

The latest German and Euro-Area ZEW data paints a mixed picture with sentiment pushing higher while the assessment of the economic situation in Germany deteriorates further.

最新消息德国和欧元区ZEW数据描绘的情况好坏参半，市场情绪进一步上升，而对德国经济形势的评估进一步恶化。

According to ZEW President Achim Wambach, ‘The slight improvement recorded by the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is largely based on the hope that the global economic environment will develop less poorly than previously assumed. The postponement of the Brexit deadline may also have contributed to buoy the economic outlook. By contrast, the latest figures regarding incoming orders and industrial production in the German industry point to a rather weak economic development’.

根据ZEW总裁Achim的说法Wambach，'ZEW经济景气指标记录的微小改善主要是基于全球经济环境发展不如先前假设的那么差的希望。英国退欧截止日期的推迟也可能有助于推动经济前景。相比之下，德国工业新订单和工业生产的最新数据表明经济发展相当疲弱。

The ZEW data had little impact of the single-currency which post-release fell suddenly on Reuters ‘sources’ headlines which said that several ECB members doubted projections of a growth rebound in H2 and some questioned the accuracy of the forecasting models. While still only a rumor, if growth projections are under question, as well as the modelling, the single currency may turn lower-for-longer and re-test recent lows.

ZEW数据对单一货币影响不大在路透社的消息人士的头条新闻中，发布后突然下跌，其中有几位欧洲央行成员怀疑H2的增长反弹预测，有些人质疑预测模型的准确性。虽然仍然只是一个谣言，如果增长预测受到质疑，以及模型，单一货币可能会变得更低，并重新测试近期的低点。

EURUSD printed a low of 1.1279 straight after the rumor hit the screens and briefly broke below the 200-day ma. Support sits at 1.1216 before the 1.1176, the recent 22-month low.

EURUSD谣言触及屏幕后短暂打印低点1.1279并短暂跌破200日均线。支撑位于1.1176之前的1.1216，即最近的22个月低点。

Euro Fundamental Outlook: Will Data Support EURUSD Break？

欧元基本面观点：数据是否支持欧元兑美元突破？

EURUSD Four-Hour Price Chart (March – April 16, 2019)

EURUSD四小时价格图表（2019年3月 - 4月16日）

Retail traders are 52.8% net-long EURUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. However recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger bearish contrarian bias.

零售交易商净值为52.8％EURUSD最新的IG客户情绪数据，一个看跌的逆势指标。然而，最近的每日和每周位置变化给我们带来更强的看跌逆势偏见。