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Abstract:The GBPUSD technical outlook is now starting to turn positive with cable back above trend and at a one-week high. Further gains may be on the cards if trend support holds.
GBPUSD Price, News and Brexit Latest
Sterling continues to price out a no deal Brexit and further gains may be on the cards.
PM May turning Brexit as soft as possible.
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GBPUSD Price – Technical Outlook
Sterling has been volatile of late with Brexit headlines again dominating market pricing. The latest move by UK PM Theresa May to ignore the wishes of her hardline Brexiter MPs and offer Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn cross-party talks, have all but taken a no deal Brexit off the table now. It now looks likely that the UK will leave the EU with a softish-Brexit via a customs union or not the leave the EU at all, either by revoking article 50 or a second referendum.
This latest twist has pushed GBPUSD back above trend, fueling a bullish bias that may stretch all the way back up to the March high at 1.3382, the highest level seen since June 2018. Cable has broken back above the bull trend line from January 2 this year after trading below it over the last week and needs to consolidate and close above trend to re-start any further rally. GBPUSD has also broken back above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3177 and above both the 20- and 50-day moving averages. The CCI indicator still has room to run before it flashes an overbought signal. To the downside, 1.3140, 1.3090 and 1.3000 will act as short-term brakes.
Sterling (GBP) Week Ahead: Brexit Votes to Drive Price Action | Webinar
GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (May 2018 – April 3, 2019)
Retail traders are 66.8% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. See how recent daily and weekly positional changes can move client sentiment.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
As Brexit talks persist, the BOE remains sidelined. And with the UK parliament prorogued, all attention is on UK PM Johnson's talks with his EU counterparts.
GBPUSD has just hit its highest level since late-July and is eyeing further gains on a combination of a marginally stronger Sterling complex and a weak US dollar.
Two weak currencies that are currently looking ahead to potentially defining moments that will provide a clear signal for both. How will they compare against each other?
After opening the session in negative territory, GBPUSD performed a quick U-turn after UK manufacturing, industrial production and monthly GDP data all beat expectations. And over in Ireland, UK PM Boris Johnson was in a more conciliatory mood.