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Abstract:As election day unfolds, traders are weighing potential market impacts based on the possible outcomes. A Trump victory is being considered as a more predictable scenario for markets, with some foresee
As election day unfolds, traders are weighing potential market impacts based on the possible outcomes. A Trump victory is being considered as a more predictable scenario for markets, with some foreseeing stronger profitability opportunities. However, with a Harris win still plausible, its essential to consider how each outcome could influence trading strategies.
Under a Harris administration, continuity of Bidens policies is expected, possibly leading to a dollar depreciation of up to 5%.
Conversely, a Trump win could drive the dollar up by more than 7%, largely due to inflationary pressures from renewed import tariffs. Currencies like the Euro and Mexican Peso might weaken if tariff policies are reinstated.
Stock Market Outlook: Analysts generally expect moderate gains regardless of who wins, with the market possibly seeing less volatility in a Trump scenario due to more defined policy direction.
Result Timing: Election results could arrive later this morning, or within the next two days depending on the pace of vote counts.
Current Results: CNN currently reports Trump ahead in Kentucky (71.8%), Indiana (61.1%), and Florida (51.9%), with a popular vote share of 54.9% and an electoral lead of 8 over Harriss 3.
For ongoing updates, visit CNN Election Coverage.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.