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Abstract:Analyse current trader sentiment and discover who is going long and short, the percentage change over time, and whether market signals are bullish or bearish.
USD/JPY Analysis
The analysis suggests taking a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. Since traders are net-short (though only slightly), this typically implies that USD/JPY prices may continue to rise.
Despite the overall net-short position, traders are becoming less net-short compared to yesterday and last week. This change in sentiment suggests that the current upward price trend in USD/JPY may soon reverse lower.
The conclusion drawn from this data is somewhat mixed. While the contrarian view would suggest further price increases, the recent shifts in positioning (becoming less net-short) warn of a potential downward reversal. This highlights the importance of considering both overall positioning and recent changes when analysing market sentiment.
AUD/USD Analysis
The analysis again suggests taking a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. Since traders are more significantly net-short on AUD/USD, this typically implies that AUD/USD prices may continue to rise.
The positioning is less net-short than yesterday (due to the larger percentage increase in net-long positions), but more net-short compared to last week. This combination of current sentiment and recent changes results in a mixed trading bias for AUD/USD.
The conclusion here is less clear-cut than the previous example. While the contrarian view still suggests potential price increases due to the overall net-short position, the mixed signals from recent changes make it difficult to form a strong directional bias.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.