Kenya inflation to fall back within target in Q1 -cenbank governor

DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) – Kenyas central bank expects inflation to fall within its target range during the first quarter of 2023 and is comfortable with its trajectory, Governor Patrick Njoroge said at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

瑞士达沃斯（路透社）——肯尼亚央行行长帕特里克·恩乔罗格 (patrick njoroge) 在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上表示，肯尼亚央行预计通胀将在 2023 年第一季度降至目标范围内，并对其轨迹感到满意。

“We are not comfortable with where it is now, but are comfortable that its coming down, and we expect it to be in our target range sometime this quarter,” Njoroge said on the sidelines of the annual WEF meeting.

njoroge 在年度世界经济论坛会议期间表示：“我们对它现在的位置感到不舒服，但对它的下降感到满意，我们预计它会在本季度的某个时候进入我们的目标范围。”

Kenya‘s inflation in December dipped to 9.1%, still above the bank’s target range of 2.5% to 7.5%.

肯尼亚 12 月份的通货膨胀率降至 9.1%，仍高于该银行 2.5% 至 7.5% 的目标范围。

“The prospects are good for various reasons, including that the price of oil has been coming down,” Njoroge said in an interview with the Reuters Global Markets Forum.

njoroge 在接受路透社全球市场论坛采访时表示：“出于各种原因，前景看好，包括石油价格一直在下降。”

With that in mind, the bank expects the Kenyan economy to grow 6.2% this year, Njoroge said, and does not expect a potential global recession to be “unmanageable”.

njoroge 表示，考虑到这一点，该行预计肯尼亚经济今年将增长 6.2%，并且预计潜在的全球衰退不会“无法控制”。

That compares to earlier forecasts of 6%, and above the World‘s Bank prediction that East Africa’s largest economy would slow to 5% growth from 5.5% in 2022.

这与早先预测的 6% 相比，高于世界银行预测的东非最大经济体将从 2022 年的 5.5% 放缓至 5% 的增长。

The bank is also comfortable with the current state and projections for its foreign exchange reserves, Njoroge said, after those reserves slipped below the required four months worth of import cover last November.

njoroge 表示，该银行对其外汇储备的现状和预测也感到满意，因为这些储备在去年 11 月低于所需的四个月进口额度。

The bank is also not worried about depreciation of the Kenyan shilling, and expects more external financing to support the government budget, Njoroge said.

njoroge 表示，该行也不担心肯尼亚先令贬值，并预计会有更多的外部融资来支持政府预算。

The Kenyan shilling has slipped 0.54% against the U.S. dollar this year after falling over 9% in 2022.

肯尼亚先令兑美元汇率在 2022 年下跌超过 9% 后，今年下跌了 0.54%。