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Abstract:Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD buyers eye more gains around $1,850 – Confluence Detector
US dollar weakness, softer yields can favor gold buyers amid pre-Fed anxiety.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD likely to consolidate heading into next weeks FOMC meeting
Gold (XAU/USD) prices reverse the previous days pullback from the highest levels since late November during early Friday.
In doing so, the yellow metal cheers consecutive third day of the downbeat US Treasury yields, as well as risk-off mood amid the market‘s cautious sentiment ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The metal cheered the market‘s optimism amid mixed US data and China’s rate cut the previous day, not to forget receding fears of the South African covid variant, namely Omicron.
While comments from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen triggered the latest risk-off mood, by fueling hawkish Fed concerns, a lack of major data/events may restrict the gold prices during the day. However, fears of the US Fed policymakers faster rate hike signals may challenge the precious metal buyers if the US dollar keeps the latest rebound.
Read: Fed Preview: Three ways Powell could out-dove markets, dealing a blow to the dollar
Gold Price: Key levels to watch
The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is battling the key hurdle around $1,842 comprising a cluster of SMA10 four-hour, Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and Bollinger Band Upper on the daily formation.
Its worth noting that the ability to reverse the previous pullback from a multi-day high, as well as staying above key levels, keeps gold buyers hopeful.
Should the bulls get a bit more support from softer USD and yields, they can easily cross the $1,842 hurdle, which in turn will allow them to aim for the $1,856 hurdle comprising Fibonacci 161.8% on one-day and Pivot Point R1 on one month.
During the rise, Pivot Point R2 on weekly may offer an intermediate halt of around $1,852.
Alternatively, if the downside pressure again intensifies, then bears could challenge critical support at $1,831, encompassing the previous months high.
Given the gold seller‘s ability to conquer the $1,831 support, a downward trajectory towards the $1,821 mark, which is the intersection of the SMA10 one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, can’t be ruled out.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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Wednesday's major data releases and macroeconomic events are expected to cause volatility to increase after another day of erratic trading in the financial markets. The Spring Budget for the UK will be released, and January Retail Sales figures for January will be made available by Eurostat. ADP Employment Change for February and January JOLTS Job Openings will be discussed later in the session on the US economic docket.
Major currency pairings are still trading in familiar ranges early on Tuesday after the erratic trading on Monday. The US economic docket for the American session will include the factory orders data for January and the ISM Services PMI survey for February. Final updates to the February PMI for the US, Germany, the UK, and the EU will also be released by S&P.