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Abstract:BRITISH POUND, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD - TALKING POINTS
GBP/USD volatility took off as sterling plunged and now scopes new lows
The move lower in GBP/CAD might have momentum but wider range is intact
GBP/NZD has avoided Sterling weakness of late and consolidated. Will it last?
The recent move down in GBP/USD saw 2 previous lows breached at 1.3600 and 1.3572. These 2 levels are pivot points and could offer resistance. Previous highs of 1.3751, 1.3913 and 1.3982 may also offer resistance.
The recent low of 1.3412 moved outside of the 2 standard deviation lower Bollinger Band, based on the 21-day simple moving average (SMA). It has since moved back inside the lower band, which could be bullish.
The low of 1.1410 was in March last year and GBP/USD then rallied to 1.4251 in June this year. Below the market, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is 1.3166, a level of potential support. The recent low of 1.3412 is also a possible level of support.
GBP/CAD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The GBP/CAD has been in broad range since earlier in the year. The recent move down saw GBP/CAD break below previous lows and a couple of ascending trend lines. The previous lows of 1.70239, 1.70166 and 1.68716 might provide support if tested as the cross approaches the lower bounds of the wide range.
The Death Cross of the 10-day SMA moving below the 21-day SMA remains potentially bearish. Topside resistance could be seen at the recent high of 1.71900.
GBP/NZD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
In December, GBP/NZD made a low at 1.8524 and then moved up to a high of 2.0075 last month. The Fibonacci 50% retracement lies at 1.9300, which might provide support. There is a short-term ascending trend line, currently at 1.9385, that could also be a support level. The 2 previous lows of 1.93302 and 1.9175 may also provide support.
The 55-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed below the 100-day SMA. This formed a Death Cross, which could be bearish. The 100-day SMA is currently flat. If the gradient rolls over to be negative, like the 55-day SMA, this may also be bearish.
On the topside, there is a pivot at 1.9610 and a previous high at 1.9625 that are possible resistance levels.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL GOLD PRICE FORECAST: NEUTRAL
GOLD, XAU/USD, TREASURY YIELDS, CORE PCE, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TALKING POINTS:
EUR/GBP PRICE, NEWS AND ANALYSIS:
The dollar was up on Thursday morning in Asia, with the yen and euro on a downward trend ahead of central bank policy decisions in Japan and Europe.