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Abstract:Silver price is heading back to August low?
Silver prices are now approaching their worst performance since June 17, which preceded a one-month long sideways move before another drop lower. These are ominous signs for silver prices.
SILVER PRICE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: DAILY CHART
At the start of September, silver prices were making an attempt to climb through the descending trendline from its summer swing highs, but a false bullish breakout materialized. The latest drop in silver prices has seen a return to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020 low/2021 high range at 23.0713, setting up the potential for its lowest close of the year.
Silver prices are falling below their daily 5-, 8-, 13-, and 21-EMA envelope, which is quickly aligning in bearish sequential order. Daily MACD is trending lower while below its signal line, while daily Slow Stochastics are slumping back towards oversold territory. A return to the August low at 22.1020 appears likely in the near-term.
SILVER PRICE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: WEEKLY CHART
In early-August, it was noted that “failure to return into the ascending triangle this week would increase the likelihood of a deeper setback, potentially as far as the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 2011 high/2020 low range at 20.6500.” A loss of the August low at 22.1020 would increase the odds of a return to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
During the minute from 21:12 to 21:13 Beijing time on May 28th, the most active COMEX silver futures contract traded 707 contracts, with a total value of $114 million. Spot silver briefly exceeded $32 per ounce for the first time since May 22nd, before slightly pulling back to around $0.5.
Silver has rejected prices lower than $21.5 and higher than ~$30.0 for more than a year.
An environment defined by plummeting US Treasury yields and a weak US Dollar has historically been very bullish for silver prices.