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Abstract:Shinzo Abe, the longest-serving Japanese Prime Minister in history, has suddenly resigned on August 28, citing health reasons. He will remain in his post until a successor is chosen. Mr Abe said he would still participate in the parliamentary vote and would not completely withdraw from politics.
Shinzo Abe, the longest-serving Japanese Prime Minister in history, has suddenly resigned on August 28, citing health reasons. He will remain in his post until a successor is chosen. Mr Abe said he would still participate in the parliamentary vote and would not completely withdraw from politics.
On September 26, 2012, Shinzo Abe was elected as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party and won the general election later on December 26 in the year. After he became the president, the Japanese yen shrank from the peak of 77.13, while after he became the Prime Minister, the country‘s currency kept slipping till June, 2015 and bottomed at 125.86. The reason is the well-known 'Abenomics', which aimed to stimulate Japan’s exports and prevent the worsening deflation by exerting a big depreciation in the value of the currency.
Japan‘s economy once recovered because of the Abenomics, and investors even regained confidence amid the successful Olympic bid. However, no one has ever expected that the outbreak of COVID-19 would completely destroyed the Abenomics and made Abe drained and resign from his post. After Abe announced his resignation, forex traders bought the yen aggressively as no one could anticipated who’s his successor and whether the following policy would be in line with Abes.
On the other hand, Japan‘s stock markets went into a tailspin on the news of August 28. With the unwinding of carry trade and the rising risk aversion, the yen appeared to be strong and popular again. Under the Japan’s uncertain political situation coupled with the continued weakness of the U.S. dollar, the yen has the opportunity to maintain its strength in the short term and challenge the two major resistance levels of 104.19 and 101.48.
[About The Author]
Since 1987, Jasper Lo has been engaged in the financial industry
(forex, futures and gold) for more than 32 years and holds forex R.O.,
securities and futures broker licenses. Mr Lo is an expert in trading
forex, precious metals and commodity futures and an basic and technical
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Over the years, Mr Lo won many individual and team sales champion
awards, as well as outstanding employee awards. He was invited, as a
guest mentor, to the University of Hong Kong, Guangdong Ocean University
and Guangzhou Jinan University. And he was also appointed as the chief
training consultant by Hantang Securities and Dongguan Securities in
China.
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Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) will elect a new leader to succeed the resigned Shinzo Abe as the next Prime Minister on September 14. This election, therefore, will be determined by the LDP factions rather than the country's public opinion. While Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga has taken a lead in the LDP's leadership race, he stressed to carry “Abenomics” forward with no novelty in his political platform.
A Majority of market participants are net long on this pair and have sustained the bullish trend move since the start of the half year trading session during the year but seems a short term sell-off may portend.
USD/JPY changed little in the last sessions waiting for a clear signal from JP225 and from the USDX. The Japanese Yen could lose more ground versus the dollar if the Nikkei will resume its upside movement.
The pair has broken a psychological level unseen in over two years this week, but could the Fed be doing more harm than good to the dollar? This week, it’s all eyes on the employment data, and what impact -- if any -- it could have.