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Abstract:The euro has been in a declining trend recently, falling against US dollar for 8 consecutive trading days since January 31st , 2020. Technically, the euro may be slightly oversold, and 1.0880 is a key support level for EUR/USD.
The European Central Bank‘s Chair Lagarde pointed out that the longer ECB’s easing policies last, the higher the risks for the side effects of these measures to show. When the interest rate remains low, fiscal policies will be effective as it can boost economic momentum of the Eurozone, which in turn weigh on consumer index and eventually drive up the interest rate. In addition, it seems that inflation in the Eurozone wont see much significant changes in the short term. She thus calls on the government to take more actions in order to prop up economy.
EUR/USD daily pivot points: 1.0908—1.0914
S1: 1.0897 R1: 1.0931
S2: 1.0877 R2: 1.0945
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JPY strengthened against the USD, pushing USD/JPY near 145.00, driven by strong inflation data and BoJ rate hike expectations. Japan's strong Q2 GDP growth added support. However, USD gains may be limited by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Gold prices remain above $2,500, near record highs, as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for confirmation of a potential Fed rate cut in September. The Fed's dovish shift, prioritizing employment over inflation, has weakened the US Dollar, boosting gold. A recent revision showing the US created 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported also strengthens the case for a rate cut.
USD/JPY holds near 145.50, recovering from 144.95 lows. The Yen strengthens on strong GDP, boosting rate hike expectations for the Bank of Japan. However, gains may be limited by potential US Fed rate cuts in September.
Gold prices remain near record highs, driven by expectations of a US interest rate cut and a weakening US Dollar. Investors are focusing on the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech will be closely watched for clues on the Fed's stance. Additionally, the release of US manufacturing data (PMIs) is expected to influence gold's direction.