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Abstract:Regional trade was short of an overarching theme as the week bowed out, but the Treasury market and next weeks Jackson Hole meeting were much in mind.
Asian Stocks Talking Points:
Local markets rather drifted through the last session of the week
Narrow, mixed trading was the days order
The US yield curve remains in charge of sentiment
Find out what retail foreign exchange investors make of your favorite currencys chances right now at the DailyFX Sentiment Page
Asia Pacific stocks put in a mixed and rather scrappy performance to end the week as investors mulled what a further slide in US Treasury yields might be telling them about economic prospects ahead. ‘Nothing good’ appears to be the consensus.
30-year yields hit record lows Thursday with ten-years marking three-year nadir. These falls came after an inversion of the 2-10-year yield spread, a phenomenon believed by many to be a reliable recession indicator.
Still, many markets managed gains. Hong Kong‘s Hang Seng was up 0.5%, with insurer Ping Ah well bid after its best results for more than ten years. South Korea’s Kospi slipped on its return from a holiday break, with majors LG Chem and SK Hynix both losing ground.
The ASX 200 was down, just, as its own daily close approached. Australia and New Zealand Bank Group stocks were down on the release of a provision update while Cochlear was higher after the hearing company produced some strong results.
The Nikkei 225 was hanging on in the green, just, up 0.1% in the middle of the Tokyo afternoon.
Foreign exchange markets were relaxed, with the US Dollar slipping back just fractionally from earlier modest gains against its major traded rivals. The British Pound managed some early gains as retail sales and consumer price data suggested that its home economy remained relatively resilient to Brexit storms.
Sterling bulls remain an endangered species however, with current GBPUS range trade still well within the pairs long-dominant downtrend. With opposition to a no-deal Brexit apparently hardening on the opposition benches in Parliament, the currency looks likely to remain friendless for some time.
Asian Stocks Resources for Traders
Disclaimer:
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The Japanese Yen rose 0.7% against the US Dollar after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at potential rate hikes. This coincided with a recovery in Asian markets, aided by stronger Chinese stocks. With the July FOMC minutes already pointing to a September rate cut, the US Dollar might edge higher into the weekend.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar after the Bank of Japan's hawkish policy move, raising rates by 15 basis points and reducing bond purchases. Japan's Ministry of Finance also spent ¥5.53 trillion ($36.8 billion) in July to stabilize the Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar weakened as the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates. Traders now await US economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and Initial Jobless Claims, for further guidance.
Gold prices surged on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve suggested a potential rate cut in September. A decline in US Treasury yields and the US dollar, which hit its lowest level since July 18, further increased the appeal of gold. Investors are closely monitoring the Fed's upcoming policy decision. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, also drove investors towards the safe-haven asset, adding to gold's rise.
The week ahead: Top 5 things to watch