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Abstract:The three-month EURGBP rally continues unabated despite the EUR struggling against other currencies. GBP remains weak but the pair are currently flashing an overbought warning.
EURGBP Price, Chart and Analysis:
EURGBP价格,图表与分析:
EURGBP rally re-starts after weeks of small gains.
在几周小幅上涨后,欧元兑英镑反弹重新开始。
EURGBP is overbought but nears a fresh one-year high.
EURGBP超买但是接近新的一年高点。
Q3 2019 EUR and GBP Forecasts andTop Trading Opportunities
2019年第3季度欧元和英镑的预测和顶部交易机会
EURGBP is now nearing its highest level in over three-months and may make an attempt on the October 2016 post-Brexit spike high but warning signals are flashing. The recent rally has gathered strong momentum in the past two-weeks, after a period of gentle upside movement, pushing the CCI indicator into overbought territory on the weekly chart. While neither currency can be described as strong, the ongoing Brexit standoff between the UK and the EU is making itself felt more on the British Pound as the clock ticks down to October 31. Both sides have said that they would like to strike a deal, but the EU says the current Withdrawal Agreement is final and will not be changed, while the UK says it must be changed if a deal is to be reached.
EURGBP现已接近三个多月的最高水平,可能会尝试2016年10月英国脱欧后飙升,但警告信号正在闪烁。经过一段时间的温和向上运动后,近期的涨势在过去两周内聚集了强劲势头,推动CCI指标在周线图上进入超买区域。虽然这两种货币都不能被描述为强势,但英国和欧盟之间正在进行的英国退欧对峙正在让英国英镑更加突出,因为时钟已经下降至10月31日。双方都表示他们希望达成协议,但欧盟表示目前的退出协议是最终的,不会改变,而英国表示如果要达成协议必须改变。
What is the Brexit Backstop and How Does it Impact the Pound?
什么是英国退欧支持它如何影响英镑?
The weekly EURGBP shows the recent strong move higher but may stall as we reach the August 2017 high at 0.9307. If this level is broken and closed above then the pair may make an attempt at 0.9435, back to levels seen just weeks after the UK voted to leave the EU. To the downside, 0.9130 - 0.9116 may stall any sell-off in the short-term, but the chart will still show an upside bias if this level holds firm. Client sentiment – see below – remains bullish.
每周欧元兑英镑显示近期强势走高,但可能在2017年8月高位0.9307时停滞。如果该水平突破并收于上方,那么该货币对可能会尝试0.9435,回到英国投票退出欧盟几周后的水平。下行方面,0.9130-0.9116可能在短期内阻止任何抛售,但如果该水平持稳,该图表仍将表现出上行偏见。客户情绪 - 见下文 - 仍然看涨。
EURGBP Weekly Price Chart (July 2016 – August 9, 2019)
EURGBP每周价格走势图(2016年7月 - 2019年8月9日)
IG Client Sentiment data shows traders are 17.6% net-long EURGBP, a bullish contrarian bias. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes give us a stronger EURGBP bullish contrarian bias.
IG Client Sentiment数据显示t欧元兑英镑持平17.6%,这是一个看涨的逆势偏见。交易商进一步净空至昨日和上周,当前情绪和近期变化的结合使我们看到更强的欧元兑英镑看涨逆势偏见。
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
USD/JPY (USD/JPY), an increase is expected as the Bank of Japan may reduce bond purchases and lay the groundwork for future rate hikes. Technical indicators show an ongoing uptrend with resistance around 157.8 to 160.
A Rat Race to the bottom in the rescue of the Dollar
Analysis for the week ahead: Markets remain worried by global recession fears
EUR/USD continues to tumble, with no sign yet of a rally or even a near-term bounce.. The pair has dropped already beneath the support line of a downward-sloping channel in place since late May this year to its lowest level since July 2020 and there is now little support between here and 1.1170. From a fundamental perspective, the Euro is suffering from a continued insistence by the European Central Bank that much higher Eurozone interest rates are not needed.