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Abstract:GBPUSD and EURGBP made the headlines Monday hitting levels last seen around two years ago as traders used negative Brexit headlines to hammer Sterling lower.
Sterling – GBPUSD and EURGBP Prices, Charts and Analysis:
英镑 - 英镑兑美元和欧元兑英镑价格,图表与分析:
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GBPUSD oversold after Mondays slump.
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EURGBP sitting in extreme overbought territory.
欧元兑英镑处于极度超买状态领土。
Q3 2019 GBP Forecast andTop Trading Opportunities
Q3 2019年英镑预测和顶部交易机会
GBPUSD – Heavily Oversold in the Short-Term
英镑兑美元 - 短期内大幅超卖-Term
After making a recent 27-month low just below 1.2120, GBPUSD has turned higher, although the move currently lacks any conviction and is likely short-covering after the pairs 260+ pip fall since Monday morning. Waves of negative Brexit headlines continue to force Sterling lower and with neither the UK or the EU in any mood to make the first move towards breaking the current deadlock, GBP will remain under pressure. GBPUSD stopped just before the March 2017 swing low at 1.2109 in Asian trade Tuesday and may consolidate at these lower levels. The CCI indicator is at its weakest/lowest level since mid-December 2018 and is indicating an extremely oversold market now. This extreme positioning may need to balance out through before Sterling attempts to make a fresh low. To the upside there is little technical resistance until 1.2382.
在最近的27个月低点1.2120之后,英镑兑美元已经走高,尽管该举措目前缺乏任何信念并可能在260+之后做空做空从周一早上开始下降。英国退欧负面新闻的浪潮继续迫使英镑走低,英国或欧盟无论如何都无法打破目前的僵局,英镑将继续承压。周二亚洲交易时段英镑兑美元在2017年3月摆动低点1.2109之前停止,并可能在这些较低水平盘整。 CCI指标处于2018年12月中旬以来的最低/最低水平,表明现在市场处于极度超卖状态。在英镑试图创造新低之前,这种极端定位可能需要平衡。在1.2382之前几乎没有技术阻力。
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GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (October 2018 – July 30, 2019)
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Retail traders are 81.2% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. However recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger bearish contrarian GBPUSD trading bias.
零售交易者净多头英镑兑美元为81.2%根据最新的IG客户情绪数据,一个看跌逆势指标。然而,近期每日和每周的位置变化给我们带来更强的看跌逆势英镑兑美元交易偏见。
EURGBP Pierces Resistance, Touches a 22-Month High
EURGBP穿点阻力,触及22个月高点
Another Sterling-pair that has hit a fresh high, EURGBP will need a period of consolidation if it is to push even higher with the CCI indicator hitting extreme overbought conditions and at levels not seen in over two years. While the CCI indicator has been in overbought territory for most of the last three months, the current extreme level needs to be considered ahead of any move higher. The old EURGBP high at 0.91165 will probably act as first-line support before a partial re-test of Mondays bull candle, and the old July 17 swing high at 0.9051, comes into play.
另一个英镑兑美元已触及新高,欧元兑英镑将需要一段时间的巩固,如果它要推高甚至更高CCI指标达到极端超买状态,且达到两年多未见的水平。虽然CCI指标在过去三个月的大部分时间里处于超买状态,但在任何走高之前都需要考虑当前的极端水平。旧的EURGBP高点0.91165可能会在周一牛市蜡烛部分重新测试之前作为一线支撑,并且7月17日的旧高点0.9051将开始发挥作用。
EURGBP Daily Price Chart (December 2018 – July 30, 2019)
EURGBP每日价格走势图(2018年12月 - 2019年7月30日)
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
BRITISH POUND, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP - TALKING POINTS
As Brexit talks persist, the BOE remains sidelined. And with the UK parliament prorogued, all attention is on UK PM Johnson's talks with his EU counterparts.
GBPUSD has just hit its highest level since late-July and is eyeing further gains on a combination of a marginally stronger Sterling complex and a weak US dollar.
Two weak currencies that are currently looking ahead to potentially defining moments that will provide a clear signal for both. How will they compare against each other?