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Abstract:Asia Pacific stocks extended the upbeat mood in markets after it seemed that the US might not reenter a shutdown. Despite its impressive rally, the
Asia Pacific Markets Wrap Talking Point
Asia Pacific equities follow European shares higher after mixed US sessio
Hopes of the US avoiding a shutdown bolstered sentiment, JPY depreciated
Nikkei 225 has best day since December, but still needs to clear resistance
Find out what retail traders equities buy and sell decisions say about the coming price trend!
Asia Pacific equities generally traded higher following an upbeat European and mixed US trading session. The former seemed to have been because of a report from the Bank of France that its home country may not contract in the first quarter of 2019. Given how much concerns have been raised as of late about souring global growth, it would appear to make sense that nations avoiding recessions spurs risk appetite.
Meanwhile during the APAC session, reports crossed the wires that an agreement in principle has been reached in US shutdown talks. The Nikkei 225 rallied about 2.5% (after being closed Monday) in its best day since December 2018. Australia‘s ASX 200 also climbed, rising 0.3% as we headed into Tuesday’s close. Chinas Shanghai Composite also climbed 0.52% at the time of this writing.
Looking at currencies, the anti-risk Japanese Yen aimed cautiously lower. Meanwhile the pro-risk Australian Dollar gained. S&P 500 futures are pointing notably higher, suggesting that sentiment may continue improving over the remainder of the day. This will then be tested when BoE Governor Mark Carney and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speak later today.
Nikkei 225 Technical Analysi
The rise in the Nikkei 225, while impressive, still left it sitting right on the descending trend line from October 2018. A close above it followed by another one beyond 21,035 (outer range of now horizontal resistance) may open the door to more gains down the road.
Nikkei 225 Daily Chart
Chart created in TradingView
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The Japanese Yen rose 0.7% against the US Dollar after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at potential rate hikes. This coincided with a recovery in Asian markets, aided by stronger Chinese stocks. With the July FOMC minutes already pointing to a September rate cut, the US Dollar might edge higher into the weekend.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, staying just below the seven-month high of 0.6798 reached on Monday. The downside for the AUD/USD pair is expected to be limited due to differing policy outlooks between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve. The RBA Minutes indicated that a rate cut is unlikely soon, and Governor Michele Bullock affirmed the central bank's readiness to raise rates again if necessary to combat inflation.
JPY strengthened against the USD, pushing USD/JPY near 145.00, driven by strong inflation data and BoJ rate hike expectations. Japan's strong Q2 GDP growth added support. However, USD gains may be limited by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Gold prices remain above $2,500, near record highs, as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for confirmation of a potential Fed rate cut in September. The Fed's dovish shift, prioritizing employment over inflation, has weakened the US Dollar, boosting gold. A recent revision showing the US created 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported also strengthens the case for a rate cut.