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Abstract:EURUSD Range Break Unlikely, ECB's Draghi to Reiterate Policy Stance
EURUSD Analysis and Talking Points
EUR Garners Support from PBoC Action
ECBs Draghi Unlikely to Unveil New Policy Signals
DailyFX Q1 2019 Trading Forecasts for EURUSD
EUR Garners Support from PBoC Action
The Euro continues to hover around the 1.14 handle with little sign suggesting that the Euro will be on course to break its 1.13-1.15 range in the short term. Overnight, the PBoC set its Yuan midpoint rate at the strongest level since July. Consequently, providing a firmer footing for the Euro vs. the greenback. Today is likely to see the Euro somewhat rangebound with sizeable FX option expiries set to magnetise price action. Of note, 1.5bln worth of vanilla options are set at 1.1350, while 1.4bln sit around 1.1400-15.
ECB‘s Draghi Unlikely to Unveil New Policy Signals
On the economic schedule, ECB President Draghi is due to speak at 1400GMT. However, after last week’s post rate decision press conference, it is unlikely that the ECB Head will provide new policy signals, thus keeping EUR/USD price action on the lighter side.
EURUSD Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (Aug 2018 – Jan 2019)
EUR TRADING RESOURCES:
Euro: What Every Trader Needs to Know Just getting started?
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--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com
Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
EUR/USD is mixed to bearish, influenced by resistance levels and upcoming data. GBP/USD is bullish with the pound at four-month highs on positive UK data and hawkish BoE comments. EUR/GBP remains volatile, reflecting diverging economic conditions in the Eurozone and the UK.
This week's global market analysis covers significant movements and events. Fed Chairman Powell's cautious stance on interest rates impacts the USD. TSMC benefits from Samsung's strike. Geopolitical tensions rise with Putin's diplomacy. PBOC plans bond sales to stabilize CNY. Key economic events include Core CPI, PPI, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment for the USA, and GDP data for the UK. These factors influence currency movements and market sentiment globally.
This week's major events include Powell's cautious outlook on rate cuts, TSMC's gains amid Samsung's strike, and Putin's diplomatic efforts. In China, the PBOC prepares bond interventions, while Korea's Hahn & Co. raises $3.4 billion. Deflationary pressures persist in China. US and European legal and regulatory changes impact market sentiment. Key data releases are NFIB Small Business Optimism, Core CPI, PPI, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment for the USA.
European trading is subdued due to the U.S. holiday, with the euro benefiting from weak U.S. data. The pound rises ahead of the UK election, supported by market sentiment. ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments on interest rates support the euro. Overall, mixed sentiment prevails with cautious trading expected. Key economic events include Eurozone retail sales, Germany's industrial production, and UK services PMI.