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Abstract:As the end of the calendar year looms, major central banks gear up for their last Monetary Policy meetings before the holiday break. Among these institutions are the Fed, Bank of England, and the European Central Bank. A global trend of curbing inflation has sparked talks about potential interest rate cuts, shaping the discussions within these meetings. What insights will emerge from these crucial sessions?
As the end of the calendar year looms, major central banks gear up for their last Monetary Policy meetings before the holiday break. Among these institutions are the Fed, Bank of England, and the European Central Bank. A global trend of curbing inflation has sparked talks about potential interest rate cuts, shaping the discussions within these meetings. What insights will emerge from these crucial sessions?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convenes this week, issuing the Decision Statement on interest rates at 7:00 PM GMT on Wednesday the 13th, followed by the Press Conference 30 minutes later.
November saw officials maintain the fed funds rate target range at 5.25%-5.5%, emphasizing the dual priority of avoiding excessive monetary tightening while targeting a 2% inflation goal.
A fresh batch of Inflation data precedes the FOMC decision. Recent figures showed a decline in the annual inflation rate from 3.7% to 3.2% in October, slightly below the market's 3.3% anticipation. Forecasts predict a minor dip to around 3.1% in November.
Core inflation, excluding volatile commodities, dropped to 4% from the preceding month's 4.1%, marking a two-year low, with expectations it will remain steady this month.
Last Wednesday's ADP National Employment Report indicated a modest increase of 103,000 private payrolls last month. While forecasts predict a rise of 180,000 jobs this month, it's a decline from the previous month's 150,000.
The Bank of England convenes on Monetary Policy this week, releasing the Decision Statement at 12:00 PM GMT on Thursday the 14th.
The Bank held its benchmark interest rate at 5.25% in November, coinciding with signs of a UK economic slowdown and persistent inflation.
October saw inflation decline to 4.6% from previous months, primarily due to energy price drops. Expectations for the annual rate in December hover around 4%.
The adjusted Unemployment Rate maintained at 4.2%, while average weekly earnings saw a year-over-year increase of 7.9%, the lowest in four months, with predictions of a decrease to 6.7%.
Employment Change forecasts a gain of 50,000 new jobs in September, signalling continued cooling in employment conditions.
The European Central Bank holds discussions on monetary policy this week, announcing the Statement at 1:15 PM GMT on Thursday the 14th, followed by a Press Conference at 1:45 PM GMT.
The ECB maintained its interest rates at 4.5% in October, a pivot from a 15-month rate-hiking streak, signalling a more cautious approach amidst slowing price pressures and recession concerns.
Preliminary data indicates a drop in the Euro Area's inflation rate to 2.4% year over year in November, the lowest since July 2021, while the core rate decreased to 3.6%, below market projections of 3.9%.
Unemployment Rate steadied at 6.5%, while Employment Change saw a modest uptick of 0.2% in the three months ending in September.
WikiFX's free mobile application offers traders a valuable tool to keep abreast of these developments in real-time. These deliberations could significantly impact trades, potentially prompting increased market volatility. Traders are advised to closely monitor their opening positions, as any policy shifts from these banks may fuel market fluctuations. With features delivering instant notifications and comprehensive analyses on market-moving events, traders can anticipate the potential impact of central bank decisions on currencies, stocks, and commodities. The app provides a seamless way to track changes in interest rates, inflation rates, and employment data, empowering traders to make informed decisions. Download the WikiFX mobile app for free today and gain an edge in navigating the ever-changing financial landscape.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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