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Abstract:Japan's yen hits mid-January highs, rising 10% in 3 weeks. Learn why the yen carry trade is impacting global markets and what it means for investors.
Monday's intraday trade shows Japan's yen at a mid-January high of 145.28, therefore sustaining its current increase versus the US dollar. The yen has strengthened by ten percent versus the dollar during the previous three weeks. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent monetary policy adjustments, including a 15-basis point rate increase to 0.25 percent last week, help to explain this notable jump.
Setting the rate at 0.10 percent, the Japanese Central Bank raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years in a historic March 19 action. To assist the yen and boost economic development, the BoJ also revealed last week intentions to cut monthly bond purchases over the next several years. The yen carry trade is projected to suffer, nevertheless, from this policy change.
Because of its historically low borrowing rates, the Japanese yen has long been seen as a refuge and a favored currency for carry transactions. The most overbought among G10 currencies, the yen has little space for more near-term outperformance, according to Barclays analysts.
The possible reversal of yen-based carry bets has rocked world markets and resulted in substantial losses throughout Asia. Monday's Nikkei index for Japan fell about 13 percent; markets for South Korea's Kospi and Taiwan each lost more than 8 percent.
A carry trade is a low-interest rate loan method used in finance wherein money borrowed is invested in assets with more returns. In the FX market, this usually entails investing in a nation with better returns after borrowing from a nation with cheap interest rates and a weaker currency, like Japan.
Maintaining over 17 years, Japan's very lax monetary policy and cheap currency have attracted carry trading activity among international investors.
From 161 on July 11 to 145 presently, the 10 percent increase in the yen over the previous three weeks has caused investors to pull out their carry bets to prevent losses. One of the reasons for the current drop in the US share market is this fast unwinding.
The National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) reports that Japanese foreign portfolio investors have stocks valued at Rs 2.05 trillion in India. A stronger yen may cause these investors to sell their shares, therefore affecting the Indian market.
Because of their major influence on world markets and the unwinding of the yen carry trade, the recent strengthening of the Japanese yen and changes in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy are generating headlines overall. As they negotiate the changing financial terrain, investors all over are attentively observing these events.
Stay informed on the latest developments in the Japanese Yen Carry Trade and its global impact. Visit the WikiFX News Page for in-depth analysis and updates!
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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