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Abstract:US dollar surges as strong jobs report beats forecasts. Pound dips, inflation fears rise. Unemployment increases to 4.0%.
The US dollar rose sharply after a much better-than-expected jobs report came out. This was a big difference in the market. Since the job report came out strong, the Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate fell to 1.2735 from just above 1.2800.
It was much higher than the average prediction of 188,000 that non-farm payrolls rose by 272,000 in May. People who like taking risks became less willing to spend after this rise in payrolls caused the dollar to rise. Unemployment rose to 4%, though, which was a little higher than the predicted 3.9%. This shows that the job market is sending mixed messages.
It got worse when average earnings went up by 0.4% instead of the 0.3% that was expected. This meant that year-over-year earnings went up 4.1%, which was more than the 3.9% that was expected. Now that wages have gone up, people are worried about inflation again, which makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will be able to lower interest rates in the next few months.
Once the numbers came out, the 10-year yield went from below 4.30% to above 4.40%, which caused the Treasury markets to drop sharply. Worries about future inflation and interest rate changes have grown, as shown by this rise in yields.
When the payroll number came out better than predicted, it caused more people to sell their stocks, which decreased their willingness to take risks and could hurt support for the Pound. In spite of the overall job gains, the labor market poll showed that the participation rate and the number of jobs fell by more than 400,000 for the month. This shows that there are deeper worries.
The attention will stay on the Federal Reserve's next moves and the bigger effects on the world economy while the market digests these events.
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