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Abstract:The USA is a very different political animal to what it was 10 years ago Far more polarised and generally aggressive. The debt level is absolutely out of control and headed for a developing nation status.
Better-than-expected The release of positive economic data for the United States helped push the dollar higher, despite the failure of ongoing talks to produce a debt ceiling agreement. In the most recent week, the number of people seeking unemployment benefits decreased to 229,000, which is lower than the estimate of 242,000. US Q1 GDP rose by 1.3%, up from 1.1% previously.
The Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the Dollar in comparison to a basket of six major currencies, finished at 104.22, marking its highest level since the middle of March (103.15 yesterday). The DXY broke through the 104.00 barrier yesterday.
Highlights from the FOMC Minutes
In a nutshell, the minutes from the FOMC meeting in May acknowledged that there was less certainty surrounding the requirement for additional monetary policy tightening than there had been previously.
Some of the most significant price movements took place last night,
Focus on the FOMC minutes related to the USD
The value of the US dollar as well as US yields are on the path to recovery after suffering losses in March as a result of the US regional banking crisis. It would appear that the threat of hitting the debt ceiling is only posing a temporary risk to the markets; however, the primary focus continues to be on how well economic activity and prices are doing in the United States. This raises questions about whether the Federal Reserve really needs to implement any interest rate cuts later this year (as they have already mentioned that they won't be doing this). However, they have already stated that they won't be doing this. The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that were released this morning will shed some light on the discussion that is currently taking place and will have an effect once the New York session begins. Inflation management is the most difficult task facing central bankers everywhere, including the Federal Reserve. As a result, putting the focus on a pause or a potential reduction in future pressure may not result in significant benefits. Because currencies used in emerging markets, such as the USD/CNH pair, are coming under selling pressure (the current exchange rate is 7.06), I believe that this correction in the value of the US dollar may continue for a little while longer than I originally anticipated. As a result, we ought to get ready for the possibility that the value of the United States Dollar will improve following the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee this morning.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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