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Abstract:"The coronavirus pandemic and shocks in global energy markets have impacted all manufacturing sectors," said Timothy Fiore, the chair of ISM.
The ISM manufacturing index fell to 49.1 in March, down from 50.1 in February, according to a Wednesday report.Bookings, employment, and production all fell sharply as the coronavirus pandemic hits business activity. “Comments from the panel were negative regarding the near-term outlook, with sentiment clearly impacted by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and energy market volatility,” Timothy Fiore, the chair of the Institute for Supply Management, said in a statement.Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.
US manufacturing orders and employment fell the most in 11 years in March as the coronavirus pandemic slows business activity, signaling an economic contraction. Institute for Supply Management data released Wednesday showed that the manufacturing index fell to 49.1 last month from 50 in February. Any reading less than 50 indicates a contraction, or declining activity. New orders or bookings fell 7.6 percentage points to 42.2, the lowest reading since March 2009, while the employment index slipped 3.1 percentage points to 43.8, its weakest since May 2009. “The coronavirus pandemic and shocks in global energy markets have impacted all manufacturing sectors,” Timothy Fiore, the chair of the Institute for Supply Management, said in a statement.He continued: “Comments from the panel were negative regarding the near-term outlook, with sentiment clearly impacted by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and energy market volatility. The PMI® returned to contraction territory, and with a negative trajectory.”
Read more: 'Absolutely zero money out of my own pocket': Here's how Jared Holland turned a little-known real-estate investing strategy into screaming business — and nabbed a $120,000 profit on a 'free house'Still, the report was not as bad as economists expected. The consensus estimate was that ISM's factory index would decline to 44.5, according to Bloomberg data. Instead, a 7.7 point jump to 65% in the supplier deliveries index in March limited the overall decline in PMI. The high reading was mostly due to coronavirus-related supply chain problems, according to the report. Of the 18 manufacturing industries tracked in the report, 10 showed growth in March. Production also fell in March to 47.7% from 50.3% in February. In addition, the ISM prices index fell 8.5 percentage points to 37.4% in March, weighed down partly by falling oil prices fueled by a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.Read more: 'Follow the hot hands': HSBC lays out a coronavirus-investing playbook focused on funds that have beaten the market for years — and shares the top stocks in each
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The dynamics of the U.S. economy and labor market, as well as changes in inflation expectations, have profound implications for Federal Reserve policy decisions. Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases and statements from Fed officials to capture signals of policy direction. Against this backdrop, investors need to prepare for potential market fluctuations and closely watch the Fed's next steps. Meanwhile, trends in housing prices, changes in core CPI, and the
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Bill Gates warned Donald Trump before he took office of the dangers of a pandemic — and urged him to prioritize the US' preparedness efforts.
"If the current rate of decline continues, claims will dip below 1M in the second or—more likely—third week of June," said economist Ian Shepherdson.