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Abstract:From a seasonal point of view, gold price tends to bottom out near mid-December and may soon see a reverse trend. According to World Gold Council (WGC) data, global gold ETF holdings have lost about US$1.3 billion from the peak in September.But even so, gold ETF holdings have increased by almost 35% this year; if the US dollar index falls below 96, gold will likely start to rise again.
From a seasonal point of view, gold price tends to bottom out near mid-December and may soon see a reverse trend. According to World Gold Council (WGC) data, global gold ETF holdings have lost about US$1.3 billion from the peak in September.But even so, gold ETF holdings have increased by almost 35% this year; if the US dollar index falls below 96, gold will likely start to rise again.
Veteran investor Mark Mobius said that if he is to invest US$10 million, hell bet 10% on physical gold. Mobius said in an interview in Colombo that India is the first choice among emerging markets, and he also likes Brazil, China and Russia, followed by Turkey and Indonesia. Mobius founded Mobius Capital Partners last year, and among smaller markets he prefers Sri Lanka and Vietnam in smaller markets, although he says both countries face liquidity issues.
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Britain has officially left the European Union on January 31st , 2020, and will soon start negotiations with the European Union regarding bilateral relations in the future. It is believed that Brexit will cause negative impacts on the European Union in multiple aspects.
Latest statistics show Australia’s annualized CPI from Q4, 2019 to be 1.8%, lower than the central bank’s 2%-3% long term target range, which the inflation fails to reach ever since 2017.
British general election at the end of 2019 was conducted against a sluggish economy. Latest statistics show that Britain’s economy growth is stagnant and the once strong labor market has weakened. In the first half of 2020, the pound will need to navigate through the domestic economy, central bank policies and the crucial March budget. In addition, the Brexit negotiation is still in its preliminary stage, whether a free trade agreement can be successfully concluded will also be critical.
As the G10 currency that performed the best in 2019, Canadian dollar may see a rather smooth horizontal trend this year partly because weakening domestic economy, and partly because the positive influence of easing trade tensions has been fading. CAD rose 5% against the USD in 2019, with nearly half of the increase gained in the last few weeks, benefiting as several other currencies from a reduce of risk factors at the end of 2019.