EUR/USD Price: Struggles Continue, Sitting on 50-Day Moving Average

• Fundamental backdrop for the Euro remains unchanged.

• EUR/USD finding support from the 50-day moving average.

Brand New Q4 2019 USD and EUR Forecast and Top Trading Opportunities

EUR/USD Treading Water for Now

A lack of any positive drivers has left EUR/USD lethargic this week with traders looking at other currency pairs for trading opportunities. The pair have moved slightly higher due to the current weakness in the US dollar, but the drift higher has been tempered by the lack of any positive economic news or data out of the Eurozone. Eurozone industrial production y/y fell further in August – to -2.8% from -2.0% in July – while Eurozone ZEW sentiment surveys for October remained heavily in negative territory and below Septembers levels. There is little Eurozone hard data for the rest of the week. The single-currency may benefit if a Brexit deal is finally agreed, yet all the positive talk surrounding the negotiations has so far failed to bring a deal that both sides are willing to, and can, sign off.

DailyFX Economic Calendar

The daily chart shows EUR/USD currently finding short-term support from the 50-day moving average for the first time in three months, although the pattern of lower highs and lower lows off the June 25 high remains in place. The pair are also flashing an overbought signal using the CCI momentum oscillator.

Moving Average (MA) Explainer

To move decisively higher, EUR/USD needs to break and close above the October 11 three-week high at 1.1063 and the September 13 multi-week high at 1.1112. Any sell-off would the 50-day ma at 1.1018 tested ahead of the 20-dma at 1.0980. A break and close below would open the way for a re-test of the recent double-low around 1.0940.

EURUSD Daily Price Chart (December 2018 – October 16, 2019)

IG Client Sentiment shows that traders are 51% net-short EURUSD, a bullish contrarian bias.

However recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a mixed outlook for EUR/USD.