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Abstract:The US is publicly and in leaks to the press making the case that Iran struck Saudi oil sites, but it remains unclear what the next step will be.
The US appears to be steadily building a case against Iran in the wake of devastating strikes on Saudi oil sites over the weekend, but President Donald Trump is in no hurry to respond.
Despite claims of responsibility from the Houthi rebels in Yemen, the US has blamed Iran.
US officials have said that there is no evidence the attack came from Yemen as claimed. Officials have released satellite imagery of the targeted oil sites that allegedly indicates Iranian culpability, and the media has been informed that the point of origin for the attacks was Iranian soil.
US defense officials have also said that satellites captured images of Iran preparing in country for the attack, which is said to have involved drones and cruise missiles.
The US appears to be steadily building a case against Iran in the wake of devastating strikes on Saudi oil sites over the weekend, but President Donald Trump is in no rush to respond.
Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil processing plant and Khurais oil field were struck Saturday, temporarily crippling oil production. The Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen quickly claimed responsibility for the attack, calling it “one of the largest executed by our forces” in Saudi Arabia.
The US, however, has pinned the blame on Iran, and US officials have been telling the media that the attacks, which are said to have involved drones and cruise missiles, were launched from Iran, which has denied any involvement.
“Iran has now launched an unprecedented attack on the world's energy supply,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stated Saturday without providing evidence at that time to support his claims. He stressed that the US would work to ensure “Iran is held accountable for its aggression.”
Pompeo, the State Department revealed Tuesday, is traveling to Saudi Arabia to “discuss the recent attack on the Kingdom's oil facilities and coordinate efforts to counter Iranian aggression in the region.”
US officials briefed news organizations Sunday, presenting declassified satellite images of the strikes as evidence of Iran's' culpability. Officials said that the direction of the strikes indicates that Iran was responsible for the attacks, a point some observers have criticized.
On Tuesday, multiple outlets, citing unnamed US officials, reported that the attacks on Saudi oil sites were likely launched from southern Iran. US and Saudi investigators determined “with very high probability” that the drones and missiles were launched from an Iranian base along the border of Iraq, CNN reported, citing an unnamed source familiar with the situation.
US satellites detected Iran preparing drones and missiles at launch sites prior to this weekend's attacks, NPR reported Tuesday afternoon, citing two US defense officials. The officials called the intelligence “circumstantial evidence” that the Iranians launched the attack from inside their own country.
The US has sent investigators to Saudi Arabia to analyze the wreckage, debris that some experts told NPR could provide “compelling and convincing” evidence of Iran's involvement.
Secretary of Defense Mark Esper and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr. have offered the president several military options, according to The New York Times, but they are calling for a restrained response from the US to these attacks, NBC reports.
“In responding to the greatest attack on the global oil markets in history, I think not rushing to respond and ensuring everybody is on the same page is where we should be,” an unnamed US official told Reuters.
“Do I want war? I don't want war with anybody,” Trump told reporters Monday. “We have the strongest military in the world. With all that being said, we'd certainly like to avoid” a conflict, he added.
Tuesday evening, Trump tweeted that his decision not to respond to Iran's downing of a US drone a few months ago was a sign of strength rather than weaknesses.
The president's comments stand in stark contrast to his “locked and loaded” comments the day before. So, while the US appears to be building a case against Iran, it is unclear at this time what the US intends to do about it.
Speaking to reporters on Monday about the situation in Saudi Arabia, Trump said, “There's plenty of time. You know, there's no rush. We'll all be here a long time. There's no rush.”
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