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Abstract:GBPUSD opens the week on the backfoot as Brexit rumours and news flow continue to keep traders on the sidelines. UK data on deck with a look at monthly GDP.
Brexit Latest and Sterling Prices, Charts and Analysis
英国脱欧最新价格,图表和分析
Brexit rumours now hitting extremes with talk that UK PM Johnson will ignore the law.
英国退欧谣言现在触及极端英国总理约翰逊将无视法律。
UK manufacturing and industrial data and monthly GDP.
英国制造业和工业数据以及每月GDP。
Q3 2019 GBP and USD Forecasts and Top Trading Opportunities
2019年第3季度英镑和美元预测及最佳交易机会
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Sterling opens the week in negative territory across the board as traders try and make sense of the weekends news flows and stories. UK PM Boris Johnson is said to be considering ignoring a bill – to be passed today – legally forcing him to ask the EU for an extension if a Brexit deal is not found by mid-October. The PM is hoping that by explaining the UKs situation – while asking for an extension - that the EU will refuse to grant an extension, in which case PM Johnson would call a General Election before the October 31 Brexit date.
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PM Johnson is in Ireland today to meet Taoiseach Leo Varadkar to discuss the Irish backstop, yet nothing is expected from the meeting, although any breakthrough, or hint of one, could spark volatility in the Sterling space.
PM约翰逊今天在爱尔兰会见了Taoiseach Leo Varadkar,讨论爱尔兰支持,但会议没有任何预期,尽管任何突破或暗示可能会引发英镑空间的波动。 / p>
The economic calendar is full of potentially market moving data releases with the latest look at industrial, manufacturing and construction PMIs, alongside the monthly GDP release. UK data has been weak of late, with the economy expected to flat-line, or contract, in Q3. Today‘s figures are likely to keep underpin the current negative outlook as Brexit continues to hit the UK’s bottom line.
经济日历充满了市场可能的数据发布,最新的工业,制造业和建筑业采购经理人指数,以及月度国内生产总值发布。英国数据最近一直疲软,预计第三季度经济将持平或收缩。由于英国退欧继续达到英国的底线,今天的数据可能会继续支撑当前的负面展望。
DailyFX Economic Calendar
DailyFX经济日历
GBPUSD currently trades either side of 1.2250 in a market lacking any real direction. It is noticeable that last week that GBPUSD had bouts of volatility, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday, with wider than normal ranges. Price action is expected to remain volatile over the next few weeks. GBPUSD will struggle to break and close above the recent 1.2350 multi-week high, while reasonable support is not seen until around 1.2100.
英镑兑美元目前在缺乏真正方向的市场中交易1.2250的任何一方。值得注意的是,上周英镑兑美元出现波动,特别是在周二和周三,波动幅度大于正常水平。预计未来几周价格行动将保持波动。英镑兑美元将难以突破并收于最近的1.2350多周高点附近,而在1.2100附近才会出现合理支撑。
GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (February – September 9, 2019)
英镑兑美元每日价格走势图(2019年2月至9月9日)
IG Client Sentiment data show that of retail traders are 66.7% net-long of GBPUSD, a bearish contrarian indicator. However, recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger bearish contrarian trading bias.
IG客户情绪数据显示零售交易商净英镑兑美元净值为66.7%,这是看跌的逆势指标。然而,最近的每日和每周位置变化给我们带来了更强的看跌逆势交易偏见。
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
As Brexit talks persist, the BOE remains sidelined. And with the UK parliament prorogued, all attention is on UK PM Johnson's talks with his EU counterparts.
GBPUSD has just hit its highest level since late-July and is eyeing further gains on a combination of a marginally stronger Sterling complex and a weak US dollar.
Two weak currencies that are currently looking ahead to potentially defining moments that will provide a clear signal for both. How will they compare against each other?
After opening the session in negative territory, GBPUSD performed a quick U-turn after UK manufacturing, industrial production and monthly GDP data all beat expectations. And over in Ireland, UK PM Boris Johnson was in a more conciliatory mood.