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Abstract:Equities are showing signs of risk aversion ahead of testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though S&P 500 net-short positioning may precede a turn higher as support looms.
Asia Pacific Markets Talking Points
Stocks trade lower in Asia after disappointing US session
Markets seem to be nervous ahead of the Powell testimony
S&P 500 fall facing roadblock, net-short positioning rises
Find out what retail traders equities buy and sell decisions say about the coming price trend!
Stocks traded mostly lower in Tuesday Asia Pacific trade, echoing the nervous behavior from the prior Wall Street trading session. Absent a major catalyst in a relatively quiet session, markets seemed to be anxiously awaiting this weeks testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the latest FOMC meeting minutes.
China‘s Shanghai Composite, Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea‘s benchmark KOSPI declined about 0.6, 0.3 and 0.2 percent to the downside. Meanwhile, Japan’s Nikkei 225 was little changed. There, underperformance in information technology was balanced by a pickup in communication services.
A cautious decline in front-end US government bond yields signaled risk aversion to a certain degree and the haven currency of choice was the highly-liquid US Dollar. On the flip side of the spectrum, the pro-risk Australian Dollar underperformed, particularly against the anti-risk Japanese Yen.
S&P 500 futures remain pointed firmly lower, hinting at a continued deterioration in sentiment to come during European and US trading hours. Countering this performance is an uptick in net-short positioning for the index which is offering a bullish contrarian trading bias.
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S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Amidst these competing signals, technical analysis shows that the S&P 500 could be heading for a roadblock ahead. What appears to be a potential rising trend line is aligned with former resistance which is a range between 2947 and 2961. If this area holds, there may be a retest of resistance at 3006.
S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart
Charts Created in TradingView
Disclaimer:
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, boosted by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP growth in Japan, raising hopes for a BoJ rate hike. Despite this, the USD/JPY pair found support from higher US Treasury yields, though gains may be capped by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
The aftermath of the Japanese yen's strengthening has manifested in significant dips across multiple markets, including equities, commodities, and various currencies. The yen has erased all its 2024 losses against the dollar, moving towards the 145.00 mark. The dollar index (DXY) has fallen to its lowest level since March, hovering above the $103 mark.
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