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Abstract:Sterling volatility is likely to increase over the coming weeks as the UK Parliament continue Brexit discussions with time running out before the European elections next month.
GBP Price, Brexit News and Analysis
英镑价格,英国脱欧新闻与分析
UK PM Theresa May remains under pressure to name her departure date.
英国首席执行官特里萨梅仍然面临压力她的出发日期。
GBPUSD weighed down by a robust US dollar.
英镑兑美元因美元走强而承压。
Q2 2019 GBP Forecast and USD Top Trading Opportunities
2019年第二季度英镑预测和美元最大交易机会
GBPUSD Buffeted by Both Sides of the Pair
英镑兑美元受到双方支撑的影响
GBPUSD touched a two-month low yesterday on a combination of increased Brexit concerns and a strong US dollar which touched a fresh 22-month high. Volatility in the pair is expected to pick-up as UK PM May tries, yet again, to get her Withdrawal Agreement passed before the European elections at the end of next month.
英镑兑美元触及英国退欧担忧加剧以及强势美元触及新的22个月高位,昨日两个月新低。预计该货币对的波动性将会回升,因为英国首相梅可能会再次尝试在下个月底欧洲大选前通过她的退出协议。
Brexit discussions returned after the Easter parliamentary recess with talk that some MPs are trying to force another vote of confidence in PM May, despite rules stopping a vote until December. Senior Conservative MPs are becoming increasingly concerned that upcoming elections could see the Tory party lose swathes of votes and want to force PM May to state her departure date before the European elections. PM May is also rumored to be looking to place the Withdrawal Agreement back in front of Parliament for the fourth time to see if she can force it through. The next few days will see Brexit conjecture and likely animosity increase, putting Sterling at risk.
Brexit在复活节议会休会后,有些国会议员试图对5月PM进行另一次信任投票,尽管规则在12月之前停止投票,但这些讨论已经恢复。高级保守党议员越来越担心即将举行的选举可能会让保守党失去大选票,并希望迫使总理梅在欧洲选举前说出她的出发日期。据传,梅也准备第四次将退出协议重新提交议会,以确定她是否可以强制通过。未来几天将出现英国退欧猜想和可能的敌意增加,使英镑面临风险。
GBPUSD is also under pressure from a strong US dollar which Tuesday touched a 22-month high on expectations that US interest rates will not be cut again this year. US Q1 GDP data out on Friday will give the market more information on the strength of the US economy. The greenback is also benefitting from economic weakness around the globe and positive US Treasury yield differentials compared to most G-7 counterparts.
英镑兑美元也受到强势美元的压力,周二触及22个月高点预计今年美国利率不会再次下调。周五公布的美国第一季度GDP数据将为市场提供更多有关美国经济实力的信息。与大多数G-7同行相比,美元也受益于全球经济疲软和美国国债收益率差异。
Sterling Week Ahead Technical Analysis – GBPUSD, EURGBP and GBPNZD.
未来英镑技术分析 - 英镑兑美元,欧元兑英镑和英镑兑美元。
GBPUSD trades around 1.2940 after having dipped to a new two-month low of 1.2916 earlier in the session. Cable now trades under the floor of the recent dominant descending triangle – around 1.2965 – that provided support in recent weeks. GBPUSD is also now below all three moving averages and is closing in on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2894. The market looks oversold using the CCI indicator and this may slow the current sell-off.
英镑兑美元在盘中早些时候跌至1.2916新的两个月新低之后交易于1.2940附近。有线电视目前在最近的主导地位下交易上升三角形 - 大约在1.2965附近 - 在最近几周提供支撑。英镑兑美元现在也低于所有三个移动平均线,并且正在收于23.6%的斐波那契回撤位1.2894。市场看起来超卖使用CCI指标,这可能会减缓当前的抛售。
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COT Report: GBPUSD Net Long for the First Time Since June 2018.
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GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (July 2018 – April 24, 2019)
英镑兑美元每日价格走势图(2018年7月 - 2019年4月24日)
Retail traders are 75.3% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. See how recent daily and weekly positional changes affect GBPUSD sentiment.
零售交易商净值为75.3%GBPUSD最新的IG客户情绪数据,一个看跌逆势指标。了解最近的每日和每周位置变化如何影响英镑兑美元情绪。
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