Australian Dollar Wilts On RBA Minutes, Jobless Data Could Be Key

Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Minutes, Talking Points:

澳大利亚元，澳大利亚储备银行货币政策会议纪要，谈话要点：

• RBA rate setters saw very little chance of higher rates

  澳联储利率塞特斯看到更高利率的可能性很小

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• AUD/USD slipped back and is getting closer to its former downtrend

  澳元兑美元回落并且接近其前一个下跌趋势

Get live, interactive coverage of all major Australian economic data at the DailyFX Webinars

获取新闻在DailyFX网络研讨会上对澳大利亚所有主要经济数据进行互动报道

The Australian Dollar slipped Tuesday after the minutes of the last monetary policy meeting showed more apparent emphasis on the consequences of lower interest rates.

澳大利亚元周二在上次货币政策会议纪要显示出更明显强调利息下降的后果之后下滑利率。{/ p>

Rate setters said that a rate cut would be appropriate if inflation stayed low and unemployment trended up and that, given subdued inflation, the likelihood of a near-term rise in rates was low. The meeting itself resulted in the key Official Cash Rate remaining on hold at its record, 1.50% low for a 32nd straight month.

利率决策者表示，如果通胀保持低位且失业率上升，降息将是适当的，并且考虑到通胀疲软，利率可能会近期上升很低。会议本身导致关键官方现金利率连续第32个月保持在1.50％的低位。

This is the longest period of stasis in Australian history but, nevertheless, rate futures markets still price-in the prospect that the next move, when it comes will be a cut.

这是澳大利亚历史上最长的停滞期但是尽管如此，利率期货市场仍然会进行定价 - 下一步行动的前景将是减产。

The minutes suggested that the RBA now tends to agree and sure enough AUD/USD headed down.

会议纪要显示澳联储现在倾向于同意并确定足够的澳元/美元下跌。

On its daily chart the Aussie remains above the long downtrend which persisted through much of 2018 as US interest rates rose while Australias stayed put. Resilient global risk appetite has boosted the Australian currency. but the minutes have put market minds back on its utter lack of domestic monetary policy support.

在其日线图上，由于美国利率上升而澳大利亚停留，澳元维持在2018年大部分时间的长期下行趋势之上放。具有弹性的全球风险偏好提振了澳元。但是会议记录让市场人士回想起完全缺乏国内货币政策支持。

The next key domestic data hurdle for the Aussie will now be official local employment data which come out on Thursday. The Australian economy has been something of a job creation powerhouse in the last few years, but the tone of the minutes suggests that the RBA is worried that this strength could be about to fade.

澳大利亚的下一个主要国内数据障碍现在将是周四公布的官方当地就业数据。在过去的几年里，澳大利亚经济一直是创造就业机会的重要因素，但会议记录的基调表明，澳大利亚央行担心这种力量可能即将消退。

Before that, however, on Wednesday, will come official Chinese Gross Domestic Product numbers. These will clearly matter to the AUD/USD market given Australia‘s huge trading links with the world’s second largest economy.

然而，在此之前，周三将公布中国官方国内生产总值数据。鉴于澳大利亚与世界第二大经济体的巨大贸易联系，这对澳元/美元市场显然至关重要。