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Abstract:The US Dollar fell as a recovery in sentiment sapped its appeal as a haven asset. Asia stocks may rise, offering the Nikkei 225 a
Asia Pacific Market Open Talking Point
British Pound outperforms amidst weakness in the US Dollar as S&P 500 rose
Latest US-China trade news, government avoiding shutdown bolstered sentiment
Asia stocks may rise Monday, Nikkei 225 has chance to close above key resistance
Find out what retail traders equities buy and sell decisions say about the coming price trend!
The British Pound outperformed against its major counterparts, benefiting amidst weakness in the US Dollar and better-than-expected UK retail sales data. Declines in the Greenback were largely thanks to a recovery in risk appetite which lead to the S&P 500 closing 1.09% higher. US government bond yields rose as prices fell, signaling fading demand for haven assets.
Upbeat mood in the markets occurred due to a couple of developments. First, reports crossed the wires that China and the US reached a consensus on topics related to trade negotiations such as intellectual property protection and non-tariff barriers. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump signed an agreement to avert going back into a government shutdown. Albeit, he declared a national emergency to fund the border wall.
Pro-risk currencies such as the Australian and New Zeeland Dollars climbed. The Canadian Dollar also gained, rising alongside sentiment-sensitive crude oil prices. As the new trading week begins, the US markets are offline Monday for a holiday, reducing levels of liquidity. A lack of prominent economic event risk places the focus on risk trends. As such, Asia Pacific equities may follow Wall Street higher.
Nikkei 225 Technical Analysi
Should the Nikkei 225 climb higher Monday, the index may keep making progress above the falling trend line from October 2018. The recent break has not had much follow-through but that could change. With that in mind, a daily close above 21243.40 could be that bullish signal. Keep an eye on RSI though, negative divergence may emerge signaling fading upside momentum.
Nikkei 225 Daily Chart
US Trading Session Economic Event
Asia Pacific Trading Session Economic Event
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
The Japanese Yen rose 0.7% against the US Dollar after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at potential rate hikes. This coincided with a recovery in Asian markets, aided by stronger Chinese stocks. With the July FOMC minutes already pointing to a September rate cut, the US Dollar might edge higher into the weekend.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, staying just below the seven-month high of 0.6798 reached on Monday. The downside for the AUD/USD pair is expected to be limited due to differing policy outlooks between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve. The RBA Minutes indicated that a rate cut is unlikely soon, and Governor Michele Bullock affirmed the central bank's readiness to raise rates again if necessary to combat inflation.
JPY strengthened against the USD, pushing USD/JPY near 145.00, driven by strong inflation data and BoJ rate hike expectations. Japan's strong Q2 GDP growth added support. However, USD gains may be limited by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Gold prices remain above $2,500, near record highs, as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for confirmation of a potential Fed rate cut in September. The Fed's dovish shift, prioritizing employment over inflation, has weakened the US Dollar, boosting gold. A recent revision showing the US created 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported also strengthens the case for a rate cut.