简体中文
繁體中文
English
Pусский
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
Bahasa Indonesia
Español
हिन्दी
Filippiiniläinen
Français
Deutsch
Português
Türkçe
한국어
العربية
Abstract:We’re about to witness the intricate rhythms of multiple asset classes in motion and the dynamic trading scenes as traders leap into action, with an unprecedented wealth effect sweeping towards investors. Please take a minute today to explore the secrets of election-driven opportunities with WikiFX!
For four years, countless forex traders have sharpened their skills day and night, lurking like wolves deep in the plains, all in preparation for the arrival of a massive herd. Today, the forex market is experiencing a global celebration—the U.S. presidential election—which is igniting multiple financial markets in a grand surge, lifting global forex investment sentiment to new heights. From traditional forex to commodities, from stock indices to cryptocurrencies, a long-awaited rain of opportunities is about to pour over the land. Were about to witness the intricate rhythms of multiple asset classes in motion and the dynamic trading scenes as traders leap into action, with an unprecedented wealth effect sweeping towards investors. Please take a minute today to explore the secrets of election-driven opportunities with WikiFX!
To unlock the key to wealth and open the door to profit, the first step is selecting the right trading instruments. The forex and derivatives markets offer a wide range of options. Whats the right instrument? It varies by person—“a thousand readers have a thousand Hamlets.” The right instrument is one that aligns with your investment style, has predictable volatility, and has yielded profitable results in the past.
In currency pairs, it's generally best to focus on the major pairs directly linked to the U.S. dollar. These include high-volume pairs like EUR/USD, JPY/USD, and GBP/USD, as well as pairs linked to commodities such as AUD/USD (tied to iron ore) and USD/CAD (connected to oil prices), along with the highly active USD/CHF. These pairs are popular because of their high volume, strong liquidity, and consistent activity throughout the day, with more stable trends, lower spreads, and overnight costs.
Additionally, cross pairs involving GBP, such as GBP/JPY, GBP/CHF, and EUR/GBP, as well as euro and Australian cross pairs like EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD, and AUD/CAD, attract short-term traders due to their larger volatility, though with higher risk. Cross pairs carry risks like liquidity challenges and more significant exposure to political and economic factors. Although these pairs can be suitable for quick trades, they are often prone to rapid trend reversals, have more complex pip values, wider spreads, and higher overnight interest costs, increasing the risk of potential losses. New or inexperienced traders should keep these factors in mind.
Beyond currency pairs, industrial, energy, and agricultural commodities are also popular during election cycles. Safe-haven assets like gold, oil (which is sensitive to the global economic environment), and soybeans (linked to tariff policies) could see significant moves depending on the winning candidates trade policies.
Stock indices are also crucial to monitor. Many forex brokers offer not just traditional currencies and commodities but also stock indices, such as the U.S. top three indices, the German DAX, the Hang Seng, FTSE 100, and FTSE A50, all of which are highly popular investment products. Compared to currencies and commodities, stock indices can be more volatile. Take the Nasdaq, for example, which saw daily fluctuations of up to 500 points earlier this year and has experienced single-day swings approaching 1,000 points in the past. The elected presidents domestic tax and foreign trade policies could spark phenomenon-level events in the stock index market. Experienced traders may want to keep an eye on these opportunities.
Position Size. The risk in investing depends on your level of participation. Many forex platforms are currently offering generous deposit bonuses, and brokers are widely promoting wealth-building opportunities during this election period. WikiFX urges investors to stay rational—most of the election-related forex content you see is crafted by brokers or agents with the intent of encouraging you to increase position sizes and trade more frequently for their profit. Regardless of how big the election-driven moves are or how clear the trends appear, none justify risking your entire account balance. The larger the position, the higher the investment, and the greater the risk.
How large should your position be? There‘s no set rule; it depends on your financial capacity, risk tolerance, and trading skills. Generally, keeping your position below 10% of your account balance is considered a low-risk range. However, due to the increased volatility around election time, positions may need to be even lower. Take gold as an example: with this year’s volatility, even a 0.1 lot position could see hundreds or even thousands of dollars in daily fluctuations. During election season, market movements can be even more dramatic, so traders should maintain strong awareness of position sizes. At no time should you open positions beyond what you can control.
Stop Losses. This doesn‘t need much explanation; those who understand know, and explaining more won’t help those who don‘t. Having a stop loss is like keeping a hill to return to—loss control is your best ally against the market. Stop losses should neither be too wide nor too narrow; too wide, and you risk holding losing positions, too narrow, and you risk repeated stop-outs. Two main stop-loss strategies are state-based stop losses, where you set entry standards based on technical analysis and exit immediately if the price reverses beyond your criteria, even if it misses by just 0.001. Then there’s quantitative stop losses: many experienced traders use 2% of account balance as a stop loss for single trades and exit the market with a 20% drawdown, allowing time to reset before re-entering.
Lastly, avoid the dangers of frequent trading, especially in an election environment with exponentially higher risk. If you‘re trading frequently but with light positions and strict risk control, you might survive. But if you’re over-leveraging while trading frequently, its a sure path to failure. Unless using algorithmic trading with ample funding, most people are prone to fall into a pattern of high-frequency heavy trading, ultimately leading to losses. Human nature makes it challenging to maintain light positions and strict stop-losses over extended periods; the excitement of larger positions and the fatigue from frequent trades will likely set in, leading to errors.
The election-driven market is filled with unexpected moves, and you may unconsciously fall into a high-risk trading cycle. Losses from heavy positions often reinforce a cycle of frequent trades to “recover losses,” and at this point, you are no longer yourself. You will lose the ability to judge the market and recognize risk, fully transforming into an irrational gambler.
The election may lead to significant trend shifts, so traders need to analyze and seize opportunities. This requires understanding the market through both fundamental and technical analysis. These two methods can often guide traders towards profitable actions but have their limitations. Experienced traders who have followed data and news-driven moves know that markets sometimes defy expected directions. This behavior is understandable because price movements are driven not by data or news alone but by market sentiment.
What is market sentiment? Its the expression of buying or selling behaviors influenced by multiple factors, including human emotions like greed, fear, caution, and herd mentality, even reflecting programmed trading behaviors. Understanding market sentiment enables investors to form clearer judgments about future trends.
For beginners, sensing market sentiment isnt an easy task. However, WikiFX has a very practical feature—a real-time sentiment comparison chart. The WikiFX sentiment comparison chart covers assets like gold, crude oil, and major forex currency pairs. It provides a clear view of the real-time sentiment distribution for a specific asset, helping traders better understand market sentiment. In addition, WikiFX's sentiment ratio chart and position distribution chart also assist traders in capturing market trends.
Of course, tools are just tools. Traders need to use them flexibly with a certain understanding of the market; don‘t follow indicators blindly. The WikiFX sentiment chart, sentiment ratio chart, and position distribution chart offer traders an analytical approach but shouldn’t be used mechanically for orders. Rigidly applying indicators and patterns can lead to errors in judgment.
Using the WikiFX App for Proactive Defense Against Unregulated Platforms
With the U.S. election season upon us, many unregulated forex platforms are likely to act unscrupulously. WikiFX reminds investors that the sword of Damocles hangs high, and caution against fraud from unregulated platforms is essential.
If, during the election season, someone recommends a forex registration link to you on short videos or social media, be sure to check the platform name with the WikiFX app. Compare it with the official site listed in WikiFX to avoid fraud from fake platforms posing as legitimate ones.
If you are unexpectedly added to a forex group chat, be wary of activities such as boasting about trades, offering account funding bonuses, giving trade signals with high leverage, frequent trading, or no stop-loss, and promises of guaranteed principal and returns.
If you see high-win-rate, high-yield EA services being sold on social media or other SNS channels, stay cautious. There are numerous cases of malicious EAs colluding with unregulated platforms to drain traders accounts quickly through fraud.
Finally, if during election-related trading you encounter issues such as urgent margin deposits not processing, frequent platform disconnections, unusually widened spreads causing locked orders to liquidate, significant slippage, leverage adjustments without prior notice, sudden account downgrades leading to unexpected overnight fees, or mysterious charges causing account liquidation, be sure to keep evidence. Use the WikiFX app to report and defend your rights, seeking free assistance in recovering losses from fraud.
Disclaimer: This article does not provide any concrete investment advice and is not suitable for specific investment trading. Traders should conduct a rational risk assessment for financial investments.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
FunderPro now offers the cTrader platform, a favored choice among prop firms, to expand trading options for users with seamless integrations and a robust liquidity network.
When a country’s currency appreciates or depreciates in value, it reflects the underlying shifts in its economy and global market dynamics. For forex traders, understanding what drives these fluctuations—and how to strategically prepare for them—can make the difference between profit and loss in an ever-volatile market.
Dukascopy marks 20 years of excellence in trading, offering JForex, MT4/5, 1,200+ instruments, and global banking, dedicated to trust and innovation.
Track key forex pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and USD/MXN for insights on volatility and market sentiment during this U.S. election week, November 5, 2024.