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Abstract:XAU/USD is traded higher at $1,966 level versus $1,962 yesterday’s high and it seems poised to approach the $2,000 psychological level soon if the USD depreciates further against its rivals.
XAU/USD is traded higher at $1,966 level versus $1,962 yesterdays high and it seems poised to approach the $2,000 psychological level soon if the USD depreciates further against its rivals.
The global risk and the COVID-19 second wave fear could push the gold price higher again. The risk rally could dominate the markets again, so the yellow metal could become very attractive for investors and traders. Actually, the price of gold maintains a bullish outlook despite the latest retreat and sydeways movement.
● GOLD Breakout Attempt!
Gold is set to challenge the triangle‘s resistance in the upcoming hours. A valid breakout should validate more gains in the short term. The bullish bias remains intact after the price’s failure to touch and retest the $1,900 pyschological level.
Ive told you in my previous analyses that, Gold should jump higher if it registers only false breakouts through $1,900 level or if it fails to reach this critical support. The upper median line (UML) and the $1,900 represents strong support levels, only a drop below them suggests selling and a broader corrective phase.
The yellow matal acumulates bullish energy by moving sideways, an upside valid breakout could attract more sellers. The $2,000 level is seen as an important upside target. Breaking above this obstacle and above the first warning line (WL1) signal further growth at least until the $2,075 historical high.
Taking out the near-term resistance levels, gold becomes strongly bullish, the $2,100 and the second warning line (WL2) could be used as potential upside targets as well. The upside scenario could be invalidated only by a downside valid breakout and by a drop below $1,900 level.
● GBP/USD Tries To Recover!
GBP/USD is trading in the green in the short term, the rate could recover after its sell-off if the US Dollar Index continues to drop. Technically, the pair could register a temporary rebound as the outlook is bearish after the valid breakdown below the median line (ML) of the major ascending pitchfork.
It could try to come back to test and retest the median line (ML) and the 78.6% retracement level before dropping again. Another higher high, jump above 1.2920 could confirm this scenario.
The next downside target is seen at the 61.8% (1.2712) level. GBP/USD could hit this downside obstacle anytime if the USDX rallies. The selling pressure is high after the failure to stay above the median line (ML). The 50% Fibonacci line remains an attractive downside target, GBP/USD could approach this line if it makes another lower low.
The Pound is struggling to increase after the UKs data, the Unemployment Rate increased from 3.9% to 4.1% as expected, the Average Earnings Index dropped only by 1.0%, less versus 1.3% estimate, while the Claimant Count Change was reported at 73.7K, below the 99.5K forecast, which is good for the currency.
It remains to see how the USD, USDX, will react after the US will publish its Capacity utilization Rate and the Industrial Production indicators. USDX continues to drop, but a false breakdown below the 92.55 level or a failure to reach it coud send the index higher again.
{About the Author}
Olimpiu Tuns is a seasoned market analyst / trader / trainer on the financial markets with expertise in forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, futures, options, index, CFD for more than 8 years. He is also a famous blogger in both technical and fundamental analysis, trading signals, trade setups, etc.
He has worked as a Market Analyst / Consultant for three major Brokerage companies, Admiral Markets, MultiBank Exchange Group, and InstaForex (live webinars, market analysis, educational materials, video analysis, video tutorials, ghostwriting, content creator), as a Social Media Manager and as a Financial Markets & Crypto Analyst / Contributor for very important news portals/blogs (investing.com, benzinga.com, forexalchemy.com actionforex.com, countingpips.com), websites, educational platforms (Forex.Academy, Forex.Today), independent clients, etc.
Olimpiu Tuns currently works as a Financial Markets & Crypto Analyst / Trader / Trainer / Portfolio Manager.
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Recently, the sterling suffered a sharp loss in the wake of the fact that the UK-EU trade talks are teetering on the brink of collapse. It comes because the UK is preparing to legislate to deal freely with Northern Ireland's freight under the expectation that a trade deal with the EU is beyond reach. Once it succeeds, products from Northern Ireland will have unfettered access to the UK's market without any customs declarations as the UK has the power to decide which goods are subject to EU tariffs, but the EU's subsidies involving Northern Irish firms may not be active.
There is a good strong buy setup portending for this pair as market participants seem bullish on a slow motion soaring euro and somehow ease back measures and slow recovery of some of the Euro block members.
WikiFX| Daily F.X. Analysis, Sept 15 |Arslan Ali Butt-KOL
The currency pair that you are looking at is at its all-time high. You are unsure if you should go Long right now. This pair has been exceeding expectations for some months now. Your peers have made their share and you don’t want to be left out. But you are afraid. These 2 chart patterns are extremely helpful in warning you of an upcoming reversal, allowing you to make money. They are the rounding bottom and rounding top chart patterns.