GBPUSD Price Outlook: Brexit Can-Kicking & Flexible Extensions

GBPUSD Price Analysis and Brexit:

英镑兑美元价格分析和英国退欧：

• Sterling unmoved after latest Brexit delay plans.

  在最新的英国退欧延迟计划之后，英镑无动于衷。

• GBPUSD still battling trend resistance.

  英镑兑美元仍在与趋势阻力作斗争。

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GBPUSD – PM May goes long, EU will want to go much longer.

英镑兑美元 - 下午可能会持续很长时间，欧盟希望延长时间。

This morning UK PM Theresa May sent a letter to the EU asking them to extend the Brexit end date until June 30 this year, with the option to bring this date forward if ‘both parties are able to ratify before this date’ to avoid taking part in European parliamentary elections. It is likely that the EU will turn down this request and instead offer the UK a one-year flexible extension with an end date of April 10, 2020, with an option to terminate this date when the Withdrawal Agreement is agreed - a ‘flextension’ according to one EU source. European council president Donald Tusk is said to outline this option at a European summit next Wednesday to avoid having to discuss extending the Brexit process every few weeks.

今天上午，英国首相特丽莎·梅致函欧盟，要求他们将英国退欧结束日期延长至今年6月30日，如果“双方能够在此日期之前批准”，可选择将此日期延长至欧盟。避免参加欧洲议会选举。欧盟很可能会拒绝这一请求，而是向英国提供为期一年的灵活延期，结束日期为2020年4月10日，并可选择在提款协议达成一致时终止该日期 - 'flextension'据欧盟一位消息人士透露。据说欧洲理事会主席唐纳德·图斯克将在下周三的欧洲峰会上概述这一选择，以避免每隔几周讨论延长英国脱欧进程。

Sterling has taken this latest news in its stride and continues to trade either side of 1.3100 against the US dollar. Thursday saw GBPUSD sell-off and drop below the recent uptrend, which now looks likely to become a barrier to further upside. The British Pound continues to trade with a small positive Brexit premium built in and today‘s news that a further long-extension is likely will shift thoughts that a no deal Brexit is becoming increasingly unlikely and that a second referendum is more likely. Cable trades around mid this week’s 1.3006 – 1.3199 trading range and this is set to hold as things stand, although a US NFP blow-out or large miss may see this range tested.

斯特林已经采取了这一最新消息。它的步伐继续在1.3100兑美元的任何一方进行交易。周四英镑兑美元抛售并跌破近期上行趋势，现在看来可能成为进一步上涨的障碍。英镑继续以较小的英国脱欧溢价进行交易，而且今天的消息称，进一步的长期延伸可能会改变这样一种观点，认为英国脱欧越来越不可能，并且第二次公投更有可能。英镑兑美元在本周中期的1.3006 - 1.3199交易区间交易，虽然美国非农就业数据爆发或大量失误可能会看到这个范围的测试，但这个数据仍然保持不变。

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (June 2018 – April 5, 2019)

GBPUSD每日价格走势图（2018年6月 - 2019年4月5日）

Retail traders are 70.0% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. See how recent daily and weekly positional changes can move client sentiment.

根据最新的IG客户情绪数据（看跌逆势指标），零售交易商的净多头英镑兑美元汇率为70.0％。了解最近的每日和每周位置变化如何影响客户情绪。{/ p>