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Abstract:Asia Pacific equity endured another mixed and scrappy session Wednesday, with global growth worries looming large. The US Dollar made small gains, with its New Zealand cousin hit again
Asian Stocks Talking Points:
Wednesday proved a mixed session, with momentum probably to the downside overall
Lower US Treasury yields kept growth worries simmering
New Zealand business confidence remained woeful
Find out what retail foreign exchange investors make of your favorite currencys chances right now at the DailyFX Sentiment Page
Asia Pacific stock markets put in another mixed showing on Thursday with the overall economic backdrop still highly uncertain and US Treasury yields heading lower again.
Those yields can act as a gauge of investor confidence, with acceptance of lower levels usually a sign that there is not much around. The benchmark ten-year T-bonds yield hit its lowest point since late 2017 on Wednesday in the US.
Sure enough the Nikkei 225 fell by 1.4% with the Shanghai Composite down by 0.3%. The Hang Seng was just about flat as its close loomed with Australias ASX 200 in the green by 0.4%.
In the currency market the US Dollar defied what would usually be the deadening effect of lower yields to rise modestly against a basket of its major traded rivals. There may well be some suspicion that, while there will be more monetary caution ahead in the US, therell be plenty around elsewhere too. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand certainly seemed more dovish this week. The New Zealand Dollar was knocked again on Wednesday by yet more weak business confidence numbers out of its home country.
The Japanese Yen has been predictably strengthened by demand for perceived haven assets. USD/JPY has slipped back and is now once again eyeing last weeks lows.
Gold prices steadied themselves after recent falls and went nowhere much through the Asian session. Crude oil prices meanwhile continued to chafe under news of elevated US stock levels.
The second revision of official US Gross Domestic Product figures for the old year‘s last quarte will top the remainder of Thursday’s economic bill. Theyll be supported by pending home sales numbers and German inflation figures. Continuing and initial jobless claims data from the US are due too. European Central Bank Vice President Luis De Guindos will speak in Frankfurt.
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The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar after the Bank of Japan's hawkish policy move, raising rates by 15 basis points and reducing bond purchases. Japan's Ministry of Finance also spent ¥5.53 trillion ($36.8 billion) in July to stabilize the Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar weakened as the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates. Traders now await US economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and Initial Jobless Claims, for further guidance.
Gold prices surged on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve suggested a potential rate cut in September. A decline in US Treasury yields and the US dollar, which hit its lowest level since July 18, further increased the appeal of gold. Investors are closely monitoring the Fed's upcoming policy decision. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, also drove investors towards the safe-haven asset, adding to gold's rise.
New Zealand Dollar holds firm while risk-sensitive Australian Dollar falls overnight. RBNZ's inflation expectations survey in focus as the central bank’s rate decision nears. NZD/USD looks to retake the 0.7000 psychological level after bouncing from support
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR, NZD/USD, WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE, CHINA INFLATION - TALKING POINTS