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Sommario:This week's key economic events include NFIB Small Business Optimism, Core CPI, CPI, Initial Jobless Claims, PPI, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment for the USA. Japan's key events are the Current Account, PPI, and Core Machinery Orders. For the Eurozone, focus on ZEW Economic Sentiment and Industrial Production data. The UK will release GDP and Manufacturing Production data. These events will influence currency movements and market sentiment based on economic performance and inflation data.
US Jobs Data:The U.S. added 206,000 new hires in June, exceeding expectations.
Tesla Rally:Teslas stock surged following a two-day rally, inspiring Elon Musk to comment on short sellers.
Bitcoin Decline:Bitcoin dropped to a four-month low, losing 15% in a week.
GBP/USD:Sterling strengthened to $1.28 after the UK Labour Partys landslide victory.
S&P 500 Records:The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, driven by Teslas performance.
Euro Gains:The euro rose above $1.08 after mixed signals from Fed minutes.
NFIB Small Business Optimism (Jun)– July 10, 2024, 18:00
Description:Measures the level of optimism among small businesses in the USA. Higher optimism can indicate economic confidence and potential growth.
Impact:Higher-than-expected optimism could strengthen USD by indicating business confidence. Lower-than-expected optimism could weaken USD due to concerns about business outlook.
Core CPI (MoM) (Jun)– July 11, 2024, 20:30
Description:Measures the change in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy. It is a key indicator of inflation.
Impact:Higher-than-expected core inflation could strengthen USD by indicating underlying inflationary pressures. Lower-than-expected core inflation could weaken USD.
CPI (YoY) (Jun)– July 11, 2024, 20:30
Description:Measures the annual change in the price of goods and services. It is a broad indicator of inflation.
Impact:Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen USD as it signals potential for rate hikes. Lower-than-expected inflation could weaken USD due to easing inflation pressures.
Initial Jobless Claims– July 11, 2024, 20:30
Description:Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
Impact:Lower-than-expected claims could strengthen USD as it indicates a healthy labor market. Higher-than-expected claims could weaken USD due to rising unemployment concerns.
PPI (MoM) (Jun)– July 12, 2024, 20:30
Description:Measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is an indicator of inflation at the wholesale level.
Impact:Higher-than-expected producer prices could strengthen USD as it signals potential inflationary pressures. Lower-than-expected PPI could weaken USD.
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul)– July 13, 2024, 22:00
Description:Measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. Higher sentiment indicates increased consumer confidence and spending.
Impact:Higher-than-expected sentiment could strengthen USD by indicating consumer confidence. Lower-than-expected sentiment could weaken USD due to concerns about consumer spending.
Current Account n.s.a. (May)– July 10, 2024, 07:50
Description:Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the reported month.
Impact:Higher-than-expected current account surplus could strengthen JPY by indicating strong trade balance. Lower-than-expected surplus could weaken JPY.
PPI (YoY) (Jun)– July 11, 2024, 07:50
Description:Measures the annual change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is an indicator of inflation at the wholesale level.
Impact:Higher-than-expected producer prices could strengthen JPY by signaling potential inflationary pressures. Lower-than-expected prices could weaken JPY.
Core Machinery Orders (MoM) (May)– July 11, 2024, 07:50
Description:Measures the change in the total value of new orders placed with manufacturers for machinery, excluding ships and utilities.
Impact:Higher-than-expected orders could strengthen JPY by indicating strong industrial activity. Lower-than-expected orders could weaken JPY.
ZEW Economic Sentiment (Jul)– July 11, 2024, 17:00
Description:Measures the six-month economic outlook for the Eurozone by surveying financial experts.
Impact:Higher-than-expected sentiment could strengthen EUR by indicating positive economic outlook. Lower-than-expected sentiment could weaken EUR.
Industrial Production (MoM) (May)– July 12, 2024, 16:00
Description:Measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.
Impact:Higher-than-expected production could strengthen EUR by indicating industrial growth. Lower-than-expected production could weaken EUR.
GDP (MoM) (May)– July 11, 2024, 14:00
Description:Measures the monthly change in the total value of goods and services produced by the UK economy.
Impact:Higher-than-expected GDP growth could strengthen GBP by indicating economic strength. Lower-than-expected GDP growth could weaken GBP.
Manufacturing Production (MoM) (May)– July 11, 2024, 14:00
Description:Measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers.
Impact:Higher-than-expected production could strengthen GBP by indicating manufacturing sector growth. Lower-than-expected production could weaken GBP.
Disclaimer:
Le opinioni di questo articolo rappresentano solo le opinioni personali dell’autore e non costituiscono consulenza in materia di investimenti per questa piattaforma. La piattaforma non garantisce l’accuratezza, la completezza e la tempestività delle informazioni relative all’articolo, né è responsabile delle perdite causate dall’uso o dall’affidamento delle informazioni relative all’articolo.
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