Weekly News 2022/09/19-2022/09/23

지수

금요일미국증시는급락세로마감했다. 다우지수는486.27포인트(1.62%) 하락한29,590.41포인트를기록했습니다. 나스닥은198.88포인트(1.80%) 하락한10,867.93포인트를기록했습니다. S&P 500 지수는64.75포인트(1.72%) 하락한3,693.24포인트에마감했습니다. 이번주다우지수는4.06%, S&P 500 지수는4.64%, 나스닥지수는5.07% 하락했습니다. S&P 500은이번여름에얻은반등이익을크게포기하여약세장을더욱확인했습니다. 투자자들은인플레이션을막기위한연준의추가긴축통화정책이미국경제를침체에빠뜨릴것이라고우려하고있습니다. 달러는다른통화에대해계속해서큰폭으로절상되었습니다. 골드만삭스는S&P 지수의연말목표치를하향조정했습니다.

시장은목요일에세번째로금리를75bp 인상하기로한연준의결정에여전히가격을책정하고있습니다. 같은날연방준비제도는앞으로도공격적인금리인상이계속될것임을시사하는금리경로의점선도를발표했다. 또한, 많은해외중앙은행들도목요일에금리인상을발표했습니다.

골드만삭스는연준의연방기금금리가이전예상보다높을것이라고내다봤습니다. 은행은S&P 500의연말목표를4,300에서3,600으로낮췄습니다. 골드만삭스의전략가데이비드코스틴은대부분의주식투자자들이미국경제의경착륙을받아들인것은불가피하다고말했다. 회사의평가모델에사용된더높은금리시나리오는이제15배의가격대비수익비율을지원합니다(이전예측은18배). 골드만삭스전략가들은불확실성증가가방어주를뒷받침할것이며, 투자자들은강력한대차대조표, 높은자본수익률및견고한매출성장과같은품질속성을가진주식을보유해야한다고권고합니다.

주식

Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) co-CEO said it would continue to make acquisitions. Salesforce said it has acquired 60 companies and will continue to make acquisitions while focusing more on integrating those it has acquired. Meanwhile, Salesforce is still integrating employees from companies such as recently acquired Tableau. Salesforce aims to improve profit margins as the economic outlook deteriorates.

Boeing (NYSE: BA) paid $200 million to settle SEC charges related to the 737 MAX crash. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has previously accused Boeing of misleading investors over remarks made after the crash of its Boeing 737 MAX. Boeing will pay $200 million to settle allegations that it misled investors after two fatal crashes of its 737 MAX jets, the SEC said on Thursday. Two 737 MAX crashes in 2018 and 2019 killed all 346 people on board and sparked a worldwide grounding of the 737 MAX. The 737 MAX made its first return to flight two years ago.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) said on Friday it would invest $760 million at a plant in Ohio to expand production of electric-vehicle drives. GM executive vice president Johnson said the company is now aiming to produce 1 million electric vehicles in North America by 2025 and is looking for ways to increase EV capacity.

Ford (NYSE: F) has delayed deliveries of some models as the company's brand badges and nameplates on select models hit supply constraints. Ford recently pre-announced the impact of parts shortages and inflation-related supplier costs on its quarterly profit forecast. A spokesperson for the company confirmed that the company has suspended shipments of some cars due to the lack of badges. The shortage is affecting Ford's popular F-Series pickups, sources said.

암호화폐

비트코인(BTC) 가격은현재금요일평균거래량대비2% 상승한$23,000에가깝습니다. 현재$23,000에가까운시가총액기준으로가장큰암호화폐는2% 하락하여한주를마감할예정입니다. BTC 가격조치는놀랍도록강력한미국고용보고서에따른것입니다. 

코인베이스(Coinbase)는목요일블랙록(BlackRock)과의파트너십을발표하여세계최대머니매니저의고객들이알라딘소프트웨어에서직접비트코인을거래하고보유할수있다고발표했지만디지털화폐의가격은변하지않았습니다. 미중긴장과만연한인플레이션이위험자산에대한투자자의욕구를약화시켜암호화자산으로자본이유입되는것으로보입니다. 

비트코인은현재약$23,000에거래되고있으며더짧은기간동안통합되고있습니다. 가격은이번주에덜변동성이있어$22,600 지원수준에근접했습니다. 비트코인이다시강세를나타내기위해깨야하는주요저항은$24,200입니다. 이지역은강한저항을받았고이마크주변에서매도압력도높습니다.

금속

세일즈포스(NYSE: CRM)의공동CEO는인수를계속할것이라고말했습니다. 세일즈포스는60개기업을인수했으며인수한기업을통합하는데더집중하면서계속해서인수를진행할것이라고말했습니다. 한편, 세일즈포스는최근에인수한태블로와같은회사의직원을계속통합하고있습니다. 세일즈포스는경제전망이악화됨에따라이익마진을개선하는것을목표로합니다.

보잉(NYSE: BA)은737 MAX 추락사고와관련된SEC 비용을해결하기위해2억달러를지불했습니다. 미국증권거래위원회(SEC)는보잉이보잉737 MAX 추락이후발언으로투자자들을오도했다고비난한바있습니다. 보잉은737 맥스여객기의두차례치명적인추락사고이후투자자들을오도했다는의혹을해결하기위해2억달러를지불할것이라고SEC가목요일밝혔습니다. 2018년과2019년두차례의737 MAX 추락사고로탑승자346명전원이사망했고737 MAX의전세계접지가촉발되었습니다. 737 MAX는2년전처음으로비행에복귀했습니다.

제너럴모터스(NYSE: GM)는전기자동차드라이브생산을확대하기위해오하이오에있는공장에7억6천만달러를투자할것이라고금요일발표했습니다. GM 존슨부사장은현재회사가2025년까지북미에서100만대의전기차를생산하는것을목표로하고있으며전기차용량을늘릴방법을찾고있다고말했습니다.

포드(NYSE: F)는회사의브랜드배지와일부모델의명판이공급제한에부딪히면서일부모델의배송을연기했습니다. 포드는최근부품부족과인플레이션관련공급업체비용이분기이익예측에미치는영향을미리발표했습니다. 회사대변인은회사가배지부족으로인해일부차량의출하를중단했다고확인했습니다. 소식통은공급부족이포드의인기있는F 시리즈픽업에영향을미치고있다고전했습니다.

원자재&선물

After modest gains on Thursday, both bitcoin and ether traded lower on Friday. Both digital assets continued to trade sideways as they lacked a substantial momentum to push prices higher.

Bitcoin (BTC) prices fell modestly by 4% on Friday, following a 5% gain on Thursday. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is now trading below $19,000, down 5% on a weekly basis. Bitcoin prices are down 61% so far this year.

Ether (ETH) was down 3% and also traded moderately compared to its 20-day moving average. Ether prices are down 12% on a weekly basis and 65% so far this year. The price of ETH is down around 20% since the much-anticipated and successful Ethereum merger. The combined ether supply increased by 5,400 ETH, but if that didn't happen, the supply could have increased by more than 105,000 ETH. So, while the merger did not cause deflation by the textbook definition, it significantly slowed ETHs inflation rate.

“Bitcoin is doing just fine as the global bond market selloff heats up. Recently, it seems Bitcoin would be sharply lower if Wall Street sees Treasury yields skyrocket and stocks sell-off, but that is not happening. Bitcoins bottom could be in place if throughout this market volatility it can hold the $18,000 level,” said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst.

외환

목요일에소폭상승한후, 비트코인과이더리움은모두금요일에더낮게거래되었습니다. 두디지털자산은가격을올릴실질적인추진력이부족하여계속횡보했습니다.

비트코인(BTC) 가격은목요일에5% 상승한후금요일에4% 소폭하락했습니다. 시가총액기준으로가장큰암호화폐는현재매주5% 하락한$19,000 아래에서거래되고있습니다. 비트코인가격은올해들어지금까지61% 하락했습니다.

이더리움(ETH)은3% 하락했으며20일이동평균에비해완만하게거래되었습니다. 에테르가격은올해주간기준으로12%, 지금까지65% 하락했습니다. ETH 가격은대망의성공적인이더리움합병이후약20% 하락했습니다. 총이더리움공급량은5,400 ETH 증가했지만, 그렇지않았다면공급량은105,000 ETH 이상증가했을수있습니다. 따라서합병이교과서정의에따르면디플레이션을일으키지는않았지만ETH의인플레이션속도를크게늦췄습니다.

“비트코인은글로벌채권시장의매도세가가열되면서잘하고있습니다. 최근월스트리트가국채수익률이치솟고주식이매도하는것을보면비트코인이급격히낮아질것같지만실제로는그렇지않습니다. 시장변동성전체에서18,000달러수준을유지할수있다면비트코인의바닥은제자리에있을수있습니다.”라고선임시장분석가인에드워드모야가말했습니다.

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